- Joined
- 8 June 2008
- Posts
- 13,119
- Reactions
- 19,288
Make sure you invest in assets that rise with inflation.
And produce income (not necessarily that’s paid out to you, but earnings that can compound)
Eg. Not just a gold bar, (although the gold will provide an inflation hedge, it won’t have any real longterm compounding going on)
This is, of course, direct advice straight from Buffett. And it makes a lot of sense to me. I would expect commodities to keep pace with inflation - they're worth something after all, but as they don't inherently produce an income of their own, it would only be a tightening of supply that could cause a return above inflation.And produce income (not necessarily that’s paid out to you, but earnings that can compound)
Eg. Not just a gold bar, (although the gold will provide an inflation hedge, it won’t have any real long term compounding going on)
Perhaps buy more with each 10-20% rise in gold
My super is 100% stocks, it’s just 50/50 split between asx200 index and the world index.
Sounds good.My super is 100% stocks, it’s just 50/50 split between asx200 index and the world index.
My personal portfolio is heavily in stocks, but with some property, p2p lending and some cash.
The money to pay your bills, does that come all from income, so p2p interest, rent, and stock dividends?I hold enough cash to fund a year or so of spending + a tax reserve + options float and cash waiting for investment.
cover inflation
It surprises me a little that you wouldn't use a smsf to invest your super in a similar way you do personally with regard to hunting for what you perceive to be good quality businesses with great growth potential similar to CZZ.
Indexes expected average around the 10% p.a. return, and with your track record of returns of around 20%. I believe you have at least 20 yrs until preservation age, the compounding difference between 10% and 20% over 20 years would be huge.
Perhaps you consider it as another way of diversifying?
The money to pay your bills, does that come all from income, so p2p interest, rent, and stock dividends?
What's your planned break down between Australian stocks, international stocks, corporate bonds, treasuries, property, lending products, cash, etc, on the day you retire...
For instance: 60% international shares / 30% corporate bonds / 10% cash.
Also, explain why you've decided on that allocation, and what are you trying to achieve?
We're getting a lot of that is this thread! I was expecting some very conservative allocations full of bonds and big cash holdings, but apparently, this thread has been left to the "stock jockeys".Practically 100% equities.
I'm somewhat similar. Now, I do all my active stock holdings via the ASX, and as you say, the ASX has done well enough. My super is 100% in US ETFs.International vs Australian allocation - undecided (still). I'm still 100% ASX. I've researched the topics and have different ideas (that have changed from time to time) about international, and never really settled on a decision. ASX has done well enough to make me lazy enough to not pursue the topic to a decision
And one of the nice things about sticking with publicly traded assets, there's a lot more accountability, in theory. So they should be safer assets, on the whole.On the day of retirement I'll still be looking to achieve growth, same as current. I'm one of the 'public equities are one of the best assets for growth) people I guess.
I've reached the same opinion. If shares have had the highest return historically of any asset class, why go anywhere else?I went through a phase of devouring all the asset allocation stuff (I thought it'd be cool to simply own a couple of ETF's or funds and rotate them around etc), along with my own research and never concluded anything other than equities are good enough for me (and probably better than any other option I looked at).
Ah, another person with the overseas ETF, and direct shares Australian. I've dabble with options, but I feel the decay and expiry side of things makes it feel like the ASF stock picking comps we hold each month: it may be a brilliant share, but if it doesn't perform well in that exact 30 day period, you get nothing for itcurrently at about 30% international equities (thru index ETFs), 50% Aust equities (thru direct holdings), 20% short term trading including collateral for short option positions.
I hear about a lot of people who "feel lost" once they retire. I think having an active interest in making money through investing/trading once you retire can be very power. You've got the time. There's excellent communities to tap into. And it can become your new focus that gives you purpose.i'm not retired yet, but am planning to do so in the next 2-3 years. i'd like to up the short term trading slightly, as i do intend to get into it a bit more once retired. but might end up actually lowering it instead, if my paranoia over the loss of SIPC coverage caused by the migration to IB Aust gets the better of me.
Sounds good. My 10%, which I'll keep in bonds mostly, are to smooth out my takings from my shares. But like yourself, I tend to feel I'm missing out on too many opportunities, if I have a lot in cash just sitting around.i also agree 100% equities is the way to go, but i keep a floating 0-10% cash allocation to allow for some limited market timing/buying on dips.
Interesting. Instinctively I don't see Australia as much of as risk, but that's based on how well it's performed in the past - which is very well - as opposed to some insight into it's future. I definitely agree about mining being very cyclical. But on the other hand, it did help us through soft spots when other economies went into recession, and we sailed on through. The other sector the ASX is massively overweight in, is our banks. That's bad post royal commission, but historically, they've done really well.personal views only, may well prove to be wrong in the coming years, but i'm a bit nervous about Aust's long term economic prospects, hence the much heavier weighting towards international ETFs.
There you go - an excellent summary of that view point! People like "income" because it works so well in other asset classes, but people overlook the oddity about dividends. If someone pays you rent for your house, your house price doesn't fall because of it. If your bank pays you interest, they don't decrease your balance to offset it. But if a company pays you dividends, your share price does drop by that amount. I think too many people come from understanding of how rents and interest work (which is understandable), and then assume it's the same with shares, so dividends must be good.Zaxon you wrote an excellent post in another thread about the viability of selling units to raise cash vs relying on dividends, which i completely agree with. as a 40 year old FIRE adherent, long term growth is still paramount, immediate cashflow not as much. i don't want companies giving me their earnings as dividends, then i have to go to the trouble of re-investing it again (and paying tax along the way). i'd rather they retain most of it and pump it back into their own future growth.
I've dabble with options, but I feel the decay and expiry side of things makes it feel like the ASF stock picking comps we hold each month: it may be a brilliant share, but if it doesn't perform well in that exact 30 day period, you get nothing for it
.
OK. That makes sense.If you are selling options (rather than buying), the price decay works in your favor.
I think of selling a put option as just like placing a low ball buy order in the market,
I think that's a smart use of options.I see my options program as just being a part of my investment program, eg I am just using put options to place orders I companies I want to buy, and being paid to wait for them to drop.
OK. That makes sense.
I think that's a smart use of options.
Do you find that if you stray into mid or small caps, that options aren't available - they're a large cap game only, at least on the ASX? And is there much liquidity: if you write an option, is there a high chance there will be a buyer for it?
You gave the example of earning $1 on a $70 share. Wouldn't your brokerage for selling the put, just eat up the premium you received for it? For instance, my broker charges $33 as a minimum fee for options.
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?