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Yes, I was jumping ahead and talking about when support becomes resistance and vice verse. For some reason my perception has been that on the way up, resistance was strongest at previous lows, and on the way down, support was strongest at previous highs. Maybe it's just my perception.Other way around Kennas.
Resistance at highs
Support at lows.
IMO equally one of the most important subjects period. I picked it up from chapters on it in my early reading. Sureely there is a text dedicated to the subjetct alone now that someone can name.
Just one rough example, SAY over the last two years a heap got in at around 20 cents, it drifts down to 10, every time it tries to break 20 cents these old holders unload (the resistance). I usually do a quick scan count of the numbers on the volume off a monthly chart, divide by roughly half and when most of that number is exhausted a break obove 20 cents is worth a close look.
Resistance can go a long way back. The gold price has now a support base of around US$850 an ounce which goes back to 1980 which had a closing high at that level. Last year when it went back to this level there was some resistance (old holders or old memories?). Since breaking through, this level has become support and has held about 4 times so has some strength now.
There is a lot of market psychology behind the longer term picture on charting and deserves a great deal of study.
Just a rough 2cents
ps. Of couse these tendencies a just that, they are not absolute and need to be looked at against a myriad of other factors/indicators.
Explod.
Good trick.
I prefer to use resistance and support ZONES rather than a specific high or low.
Something I picked up from Steidlmeyer.
I find this helpful in all timeframes down to minutes.
May I be so bold as to say that Explod was not actually saying exact points were support and resistance. Occasionally they are, but usually there is an area, or zone, where general support and resistance is found. I think he was just using numbers as a point of reference.
S&R obviously occurs over various time frames. Short term traders may use short term S&R, whereas longer term traders, and investors, may use much longer term time frames, out to years.
All depends on your trading and investment methods and timeframes.
The example I gave is only one small facit of sup/res. It is a complex area for study but once mastered is a powerful guide.
Another is the round number, a lot will sell at $1, in fact many will take the profit at .99cents, and so on. etc. etc.
It is why I suggest one should seek a complete text on the subject
The example I gave is only one small facit of sup/res. It is a complex area for study but once mastered is a powerful guide.
Another is the round number, a lot will sell at $1, in fact many will take the profit at .99cents, and so on. etc. etc.
It is why I suggest one should seek a complete text on the subject
Just one rough example, SAY over the last two years a heap got in at around 20 cents, it drifts down to 10, every time it tries to break 20 cents these old holders unload (the resistance). I usually do a quick scan count of the numbers on the volume off a monthly chart, divide by roughly half and when most of that number is exhausted a break obove 20 cents is worth a close look.
Thanks for this one paragraph. I had never really thought of resistance and support in those terms before - but it makes a lot of sense now.
So to get this right, you consider what the volumes that were bought at previous resistance levels, then make the assumption that these volumes will be sold at the same level? therefore if you can determine when this volume of supply (sell) is extinguished, then the resistance will be broken?
does that mean people are buying and selling at break even???
can someone put this in really stupid terms for me..... also does a price stagnation mean its meeting resistance at the top of a peak?
Thanks for this one paragraph. I had never really thought of resistance and support in those terms before - but it makes a lot of sense now.
So to get this right, you consider what the volumes that were bought at previous resistance levels, then make the assumption that these volumes will be sold at the same level? therefore if you can determine when this volume of supply (sell) is extinguished, then the resistance will be broken?
Thats what I read from it. And it makes sense, that a certain number of buyers will buy at a peak, watch it drop then sell as soon as it returns to that amount to break even. But what adds complexity to this scenario is volumes.
Or support at the bottom. Stagnation can also means it moves sideways bouncing between a high and low for an extended period also. In fact most literature I've read says this is how shares fluctuate for 70% of the time.
from the volume figure, how do you know what percentage of that volume is buyers vs sellers?
ps--if anyone knows of any books that goes into huge detail about volume patterns, can you let us know the title and author?
I'm reading and learning heaps but still a newbie.
Master The markets Tom Williams
The best on the topic.
Available on E book.
http://www.tradethetruth.com/downloads.html
Dont under estimate the Ebook.
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