I'm getting .........excited on this one also. Hold 600 000 @ low numbers.
Condog, do you still feel your calcs below are still close to the mark.
Quote
Worst case = initial small loss to maybe 2.8c or so on bad news
My speculative most likely outcome case 3MMBO may = 20c sp increase (VIL 50%)
Best case outcome may = 12MMBO with possible $0.75 max share price (VIL 50%)
This is purely speculative calcs....they have not been cross checked and are not to be relied on for anything othern then pure entertainment value....
I may not able to retire, but I will be able to pay off my house.
May buy more early next week if there is any signs of weakness
Holding at 3.1c.
Also enjoying the ride. Not standing to benefit as much as others, but I'll still have enough to cover my HECS fees once I start Uni and more ontop to reinvest.
I've been following this thread for a while now, really valued reading views from experienced traders such as Condog and Putty, hoping to learn something off such posters.
Still holding this one.. Thank god I didn't cut my losses, cause I was getting worried at those 1.8c levels.. I have to admit.. Was not going to get trounced by the institutional selling..
God I love these results. This gas show is the best yet.. if just one of these gas shows is commercially viable, we will see 6c imo.. and there are THREE gas shows.. and the very strong possibility of oil!!
I really think we will see TENbefore the end of this month.. and beyond that, if all goes to plan 25 cents will come before the VILO expiry in my opinion.. (still don't have the balls to trade VILO though.. not long to exp..,) 75c is pretty wild but.. lol. i would be a multi-squil if we see 75c!
Enjoying reading some of analysis's. Not fully up to date in my oil & gas play knowledge so it helps a lot.
Don't think we will see confirmation of on Monday, but either Tuesday or more likely Wednesday.
Good luck to all.
I only started full time trading this financial year so take any of my predictions with a grain of salt, have followed the market for a few years but this site and some its members have opened my eyes to some of the ins and outs and I have learnt a lot from it and some of the threads, especially spotting some of the pitfalls that may hinder some penny dreadfuls that were oblivious to me.
they did a cap raising not long ago and I think they should have enough to do the next hole in the program (maybe 2), so either way the next hole should proceed unhindered.
Still, you have far more experience with the intricacies than this 17 year old
Considering what you've said, will you look at selling out should Verus hit say, 10c, based on this drilling alone? Or would you hold onto them in the hope that future holes could prove equally positive?
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...ie-bourse-higher/story-e6frg8zx-1225817483311 - disc....no responsibility by this duck or forum if you follow this external link.The top-traded stock by volume was Verus Investments, with 214.55 million shares worth $9.26 million changing hands. Its shares jumped 0.6c, or 15.38 per cent, to 4.5c. Market turnover was two billion shares worth $3.24 billion, with 582 stocks up, 535 down and 320 unchanged.
Still, you have far more experience with the intricacies than this 17 year old
Considering what you've said, will you look at selling out should Verus hit say, 10c, based on this drilling alone? Or would you hold onto them in the hope that future holes could prove equally positive?
By the way putty you beat me to picking VIL in the jan stock picking comp.... and i offered you 50c to take it off you.....but you never replied......how bout i make it a $1..........Id reckon right now youd be the leader or close and must be feeling pretty confident of being in the top few.....
I don't know, shares sometimes do what you least expect them to do, .10c is just a rough level I set myself because it is where the options come into play and as with a cap raising it may set a solid floor under the share, I don't know if the first hole will be enough to get it to my first hurdle, but that is my opinion and a guess at best. If some of the bigger traders and instos want to see it go up it will, if they don't it won't, it will come down to buyer strength as there is no shortage of supply and the day traders are loving turning it over at the moment.
If the well is a success, the SP will reflect the in ground resource value and some speculation on the future until they get more wells online to take advantage of the resource. Don't get me wrong I am optimistic about this share and my money is where my mouth is, it just pays to focus on some of the negatives that could affect things so if they occur you are ready to act and then take the rest as a pleasant surprise when it happens.
3 good gas anouncements, problems drilling and your worrying......pffffttt Putty look at all the other data around the dome in the reports and average it out....every teneement thats found gas has also found commercially viable oil.....just cause its not flowing to the surface doesnt mean it aint there.....and even if its not down this hole its IMO likely to be down a hole adjacent to these..... hydrocarbons are present , gas is present, they have the correct formations , in a producing zone.....
Im extremely confident on this one.....make sure you get your head in the right place or else your likely to sell on the first little price rise....and if you do that your likely to miss the big one if or when it comes....in any stock....
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