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Hyper inflation will not kick in till the Germans either give in to ECB bond buyng/printing of give up on the Euro. For the Germans to do an about face they will need to go through a collective financial renaissance or nervous breakdown.
It will be interesting to see how long a strong US dollar will be tolerated by the FED till then. Not that I'm expecting a QE3.
None of this is good for our commodity sentiment, though it makes no real difference as our dollar just tanks along with the stronger US$.
Till then uncertainty should make for southerly winds, that may blow for a long long time.
Assuming that the markets can actually be rational.
Yes eventually but traders have been getting locked into poor positions and then patiently squeezed out for a loss. Holding for an extended period in the red is tough but alternatively don't give the market a shot at your dosh by staying out.will there ever be such a thing as a sustainable and supported rally ever again?
back on topic down 1.8% today, European bond yields rising, will there ever be such a thing as a sustainable and supported rally ever again?
or perhaps the massive gains over the past 10 years was from some very switched on investors that saw all this coming?
back on topic down 1.8% today, European bond yields rising, will there ever be such a thing as a sustainable and supported rally ever again?
Huge tank in Europe last night and the djia looks like closing down arround 200 points (despite a late rally). No doubt we will tank a bit today.
At some stage our share prices have to reach a point where the knowledge of Europes and the U.S.A problems are already factored in.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/br...ommittee-failure/story-e6frf7ko-1226202187894STANDARD & Poor's have maintained its AA+ credit rating for the United States despite the failure of a special congressional panel to agree huge deficit cuts due to deep political differences.
"The Fiscal Committee's inability to agree on fiscal measures that would stabilise US government debt as a share of GDP is consistent with our August 5 decision to lower our rating to AA+,'' S&P said,
"However, we expect the caps on discretionary spending as laid out in the Budget Control Act of 2011 to remain in force. If these limits are eased, downward pressure on the ratings could build.''
Huge tank in Europe last night and the djia looks like closing down arround 200 points (despite a late rally). No doubt we will tank a bit today.
At some stage our share prices have to reach a point where the knowledge of Europes and the U.S.A problems are already factored in.
Anyone else buying puts today? I grabbed a XJO 4100 put MAR-12 for 160pts.
Hope to exit at a profit and some increased vol by Christmas!
But... but... they're mostly known unknownsFactor what in though?
We are living in times of Rumsfeldian Unknowns.
djia down another 236 overnight (dropped off sharply leading up to the close). The strongest economy in Europe (Germany) was unable to auction off 6 billion euro of bonds yesterday. The bears are back in control.
The failure to sell the Germany Bonds is a positive IMO.
It will now bring the issue right to the forefront of Germany Politicans and the publics mind.
They didnt like helping out all the other countries (Greece, Italy, Spain, etc) because it had not "affected" them to any great extend yet. I.e. They were the strongest economy and money flowing in was not a problem. They were just p^^^^^ that they had to bail everyone else out.
Now they are getting caught up in this mess and will want it fixed quick smart.
This may be the final push needed to fire up those printing presses.
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