This is a mobile optimized page that loads fast, if you want to load the real page, click this text.

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank

Evidently, the Saudis had money in the headstock and not AT1 stuff.

So, who's the bitch?
the Saudis had close to 10% whether that was senior debt or shares of both

interesting to see if the Saudis had existing exposure to UBS ,
 
Some weird things happened prior to SVB falling over, but this one takes the take.
From Bloombergs
Mick
 
In another not surprising twist to the SVB saga, the insiders traded stocks and options before the fall.
From Industry Leaders Magazine
Nah, it was just a fluke.
Mick
 
what do people think about first republic? Understand their credit rating got downgraded and there are some risks they will get in trouble if everyone pulls their deposits out. Not sure why it would cause this bank to drop 95% though.
 
Brave

First Citizens BancShares is in advanced talks to acquire Silicon Valley Bank after its collapse earlier this month, according to people familiar with the matter.

First Citizens could reach a deal as soon as Sunday to acquire Silicon Valley Bank from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), said the people, who asked to not be identified because the matter isn’t public. No final decision has been made and talks could fall through, the people added.

As of Friday, Raleigh, North Carolina-based First Citizens had a market value of $US8.4 billion
 
Peter Schiff put out an interesting roast

( lifted from another site )

The Fed Flunked Its Own Stress Test
https://odysee.com/@TheSchiffReport:9/the-fed-flunked-its-own-stress-test:2

interesting ...

they stress-tested 34 ( or 33 ) of the largest US banks ... and SVB was ranked No. 19 ... one might wonder the ranking of Pacific-Western , Signature , and the other one in ( known ) distress .. did they pass the test or did the stress-test successfully avoid them as well

a flash-back here FRIDAY, JUN 24, 2022 - 06:44 AM

All 33 Banks Pass Fed Stress-Test, Setting Stage For Billions In Buybacks​




unless SVB was leveraging those Treasuries and MBS their only sin seems to be being overly conservative ( and gullible ) ( 10 year US Treasuries are seen as 'pristine collateral ' )

a run on most banks will bring them to their knees in a week ( unless the Fed throws a lifeline )
 
something seriously wrong here ... diversification at its worst

"The chief executive of Sweden’s largest private pension fund was fired on Tuesday . .. Magnus Billing was dismissed after Alecta took 19.6 billion Swedish krona ($1.9 billion) of losses not just on SVB but also Signature Bank and First Republic Bank. In a statement, Alecta’s board said the ouster came after further discussions about the right way forward for Alecta and how trust can be restored.

"According to FactSet, Alecta was the number-five investor in SVB, the number-six investor in Signature and the number-five investor in First Republic at the end of 2022. Alecta said it’s trying to understand how the situation arose.

... Maybe the board should take up knitting classes again.
 
the extended low interest rates was a major problem it is easy to dump ( on ) the chief exec. but how do you generate 8% ( plus ) annual returns for those in the pension fund ??

A. move out on the risk curve in a scenario like we had ( even a year ago ) ,

now sure if Magnus has a perfect crystal ball , he would have liquidated those holdings , say , last December

remember all those 'authority ' figures saying ( most ) banks are 'unquestionably strong ' and 'stress-tested' rigorously ( for the wrong scenario )

obviously Magnus wasn't blessed with my gift of extreme cynicism ( although he probably should have just dumped those three holdings , maybe ALL the bank holdings , after FTX blew up , despite assurances from elsewhere )
 
Chris Whalen from Institutional Risk Analyst said we should be wary of a false narrative that pins all blame on miscreant banks. “The Fed’s excessive open market intervention from 2019 through 2022 was the primary cause of the failure of First Republic as well as Silicon Valley Bank,” he said.

Mr Whalen said US banks and bond investors (i.e. pension funds and insurance companies) are “holding the bag” on $US5 trillion of implicit losses left by the final blow-off phase of the Fed’s QE experiment. “Since US banks only have about $US2 trillion in tangible equity capital, we have a problem,” he said.

He predicts that the banking crisis will keep moving up the food chain from the original outliers to mainstream banks until the Fed backs off and slashes rates by 100 basis points.

The Fed has no intention of backing off. It plans to raise rates further. It continues to shrink the US money supply at a record pace with $US95 billion of quantitative tightening each month.

The horrible truth is that the world’s superpower central bank has made such a mess of affairs that it has to pick between two poisons: either it capitulates on inflation; or it lets a banking crisis reach systemic proportions. It has chosen a banking crisis.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard in The Telegraph London
 
Much has been written about the flight of deposits from some of the smaller banks thus putting pressure on their viability.
However, perhaps we should also be focussing on some of the larger banks.
From Wall street on parade
Mick
 
Much has been written about the flight of deposits from some of the smaller banks thus putting pressure on their viability.
However, perhaps we should also be focussing on some of the larger banks.
From Wall street on parade

Mick
yes , but the theory is that the Fed will keep bailing out selected ones including giving those 'fair-haired banks' special deals when they gobble up fallen regional banks , the trillion dollar question is how many stressed banks will be bailed out , regardless , is that 4 or 10 , i bet a lot less than 2,400
 
In a further twist on the viability of US banks, one of the big problems in Silicon Valley bank was that so many of the deposits were ininsured through the FDIC.
Well it seems that those little problems pale into insignificance compared to what is happening at the majors.
From Wall Street on parade

At Year End, 4,127 U.S. Banks Held $7.7 Trillion in Uninsured Deposits; JPMorgan Chase, BofA, Wells Fargo and Citi Accounted for 43 Percent of That


The three red diamonds on that chart are the banks that have been sold off after bankruns.
They look rather insignificant in the grand scheme of things.
Mick
 
Moody's downgraded more than a dozen US banks back in August and more were put under review for potential downgrades.

A crisis in commercial real estate is looming with Charlie Munger saying five months ago that U.S. banks are packed with “bad loans” with an estimated $2.3 trillion wall of debt coming due for repayment before the end of 2025 as loans mature. If valuations collapse we could see banks collapsing too. Who will refinance these loans if the amount owed far outweighs valuations?

Kevin O'Leary said this week that "It's getting worse by the week," and "Lots of private equity firms are admitting there's cracks in the system." Smaller regional banks in the US are up to their neck in commercial real estate debt.

It all looks pretty grim, with the worst yet to come.
 
yes , interesting times coming and not just in the US , i wonder how much in dubious loans was monetized and exported overseas in 'products'
 
Cookies are required to use this site. You must accept them to continue using the site. Learn more...