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TGF - Tribeca Global Natural Resources

Dona Ferentes

beware the aedes of marsh
Joined
11 January 2016
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TRIBECA GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED (TGF) is an ASX listed investment company that joined the ASX in November 2018, raising capital at $2.50 a share.

It is part of Tribeca Investment Partners, which is a "leading boutique fund manager with a twenty year history of innovation and investment excellence. With offices in Sydney and Singapore, Tribeca manages a suite of actively managed traditional and alternative strategies. "

TGF invests in metals & mining, energy and soft commodities and the portfolio is currently circa 140% net long :

Current approximate sector weightings as follows:

35% Base Metals: Mainly exposed to high-quality producers of copper and nickel globally where we see demand and supply deficits for the remainder of the decade as decarbonisation policies consume unprecedented quantities of base metals. We are of the view that equity valuations have more that 100% upside compared to prior cycle multiples.

10% Battery Metals: Mainly expressed through lithium and rare earth companies that are producing at the bottom of the cost curve and will benefit from the rapid expansion of electric vehicle penetration globally.

25% Uranium: There has been a watershed change in recent months with respect to nuclear energy's role in the global energy mix with China, the US and Europe all talking to its strategic importance in the race to decarbonise and we see 200% plus upside to the price of uranium over the medium term.

25% Precious Metals: Historically, positively correlated to rising nominal yields and inflation expectations, the precious metal sector is also trading at historic lows from an equity valuation perspective and provides an ideal counter lever to the remainder of the portfolio.

15% Oil & Gas: Key beneficiary of a rebound in growth as vaccine rollouts globally increase trade and movement leading to a higher consumption of oil. Equity valuations for the sector remain undemanding and cashflow generation is strong at current prices.

20% Infrastructure Related: Key steel making ingredients including iron ore and coking coal will be key beneficiaries of fiscal stimulus programs across the G20 and we see material upside for the equity valuations of producers who are trading well below prior cycle multiples. As an example of this we see BHP trading to over $100 per share during this cycle.

10% Soft Commodities & Renewables: This part of the portfolio has been increasing and will likely become larger over coming quarters. In prior cycles soft commodities have tended to lag hard rock commodities but subsequently outperform. We appear to be in the very early stages of this playing out.

with a market cap of $125million, the LIC is currently trading about 10% below NTA.

since inception (daily)
 
Spooky. Déjá vu.
Note the price in DF's chart above from nearly 2 years ago.
Will probably drift lower in short term?

Followingthe placement , there's an
Entitlement Offer to acquire 1 New Share for every 4 Shares held on the Record Date ( Wednesday, 1 March 2023) at the Offer Price of $2.10 per New Share. The Entitlement Offer is not underwritten and will close on Friday, 24 March
 
Did you notice the new DRP.
The divvy is 12.5 cent, and, guess what, so is the DRP price. (a cut and paste curse?)
Oh dear, I hope it's not Jun Bei Lui that gets a whoopin'
I propose David Aylward gets the whoopin'
 
Last weekly NTA 2.08 (post tax). Trading at huge discount. Today's close 1.56.

Base metals and other minerals just aren't sexy anymore.

 
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