Hi,
I am currently reading Stan Weinstein's "Secrets For Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets", which I liking to read. Many recommend this book and I have seen good reviews about it.
I am intersted to know other people's opinion about the applicability of this read in today's ASX market. As the book has been written quite a while ago, quite a few things changed, e.g. computers, online brockering - SPs change very fast.
I do undesrstand the various stages of a stock / index, but is the 30 week MA, heavily referred to in the book, applicable today, or are other indicators better?
Any commenst would be highly appreciated.
Cheers,
David
Hi,
When I first joined the ATAA a few years ago, some of the old hands there suggested that I rad this book - that it is the Must Read book. So I bought it, and read it.
I recently re-read it in some research for a presentation I was preparing, and I rediscovered some great things in the book. In Chapter 8, "Using the best long term indicators to Spot Bull and Bear Markets", Stan includes some weekly charts of the DJIA going back decades, and suggests that in the past we could have avoided the losses of US bear markets by following his simple strategy. My recent research of the Aussie market over 2 decades easily confirms this, like WRONG'UN's chart above of the XAO.
But we should note that Stan used the Simple Moving Average. His simple calculation method is explained on page 313 of his book.
His concept of Stage Analysis is also a great idea to understand. It is not exactly prescriptive; but the concept is fantastic. If you have charting software that include the Stage Analysis, it is a great tool.
Cheers
Mate, a word of advice.....when you want to know if some method is applicable, better by far than asking people is to do your own research and make up your own mind.
Asking questions sounds good in theory, but the problem is that it can lead to you getting so many different opinions that in the end you don't know who to believe and who not to.
Nothing beats your own research when it comes to finding out what works and what doesn't. Chart time is the key. Look at thousands of charts going back dozens of years. Become so familiar with a setup that it almost jumps off the chart and bites you, so that you recognise it instantly when you see it.
Find yourself a pattern or a setup you like, one that's simple and suits your personality. Become an expert in trading that pattern. Practice and practice and practice until you feel you 'own' that pattern and you can just about trade it in your sleep.
Brilliantly stated Bunyip. Perhaps the single best piece of advice I have seen in ages, yet all just common sense.
There are so many on this forum who look to others for guidance when doing the work themselves is the real answer.
brty
Didn't expect to find you and me agreeing on anything, brty, but there you go! LOL
Yeh, there's no substitute for doing your own research to find out what works for you and what doesn't. Could have saved myself a few quid on useless courses if I'd realised this early in the piece!
Anyone know what Stan Weinstein is doing now ? I have googled ... could not find any funds being managed , subscription newsletters, further books etc. Is this guy still on the circuit/circus ?
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I've just finished reading the book. A couple of points:
2. In regards to sector selection, I've been told that the ASX sectors are heavily weighted by fewer stocks than is the case with the US Market. What are people's thoughts on this? Does this make selecting a strong sector less useful?
IMO sector selection in Australia is useless. the ASX is too small and generally, all the stocks do the same thing at a given time irrespective of the sector, so you could consider the ASX itself a sector in the grand scheme of all the available stocks in the world. If Stan lived in Australia and limited himself to Australian stocks, he'd probably only buy when the ASX200/all ords and it's SMA200 is heading up, and he probably would't give a damn about our sectors.
most of Stan's other stuff is gold IMO. Except short selling, which, is also pretty darn hard to do in Australia without derivatives.
Does anyone know what time period Weinstein uses for the RSC? I'm assuming it's just the 200 day MA as well?
My RSC only has two imputs....Base Security......Exchange!
You are comparing the current chart to the exchange or a sector of the current time frame.
In other words it plots a ratio of two market prices.
A rising ratio line indicates the symbol being plotted is stronger relative to the benchmark it is being compared to.
Cheers
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