- Joined
- 1 November 2006
- Posts
- 373
- Reactions
- 14
Nice, that would be over 30% return on my buy in priceThe figures from the latest investor presentation today:
Ord shares: 234m
Conv notes: 55m ($79.8m)
Cash 30/04: $296m (+ $34m Varomet)
Debt 30/04: $79m (+ 86m Varomet)
Tranche 2 payment to come: $157m
Dividend to come: $117m (30c/share + 20c/share)
Cash available post dividends: $336m (= $1.44/share)
SRL has had a great run, but it will fall with the rest of the market, and here are some pretty blue lines to make technical decisions over.
My breakout line was at $1.50 ish, which hopefully is support. If the market completely crumbles to further lows, then forget that.
Some more S&R appearing here, which is slightly alingned to the overall market. There's some H&Serish pattern appearing in a few stocks and represented in the XAO. Need the support to hold, or things look ordinary for the short term. Downward volume doesn't look troubling here. For me, a break of $1.60 is concerning, and like you $1.50 is keep powder dry.Like you said, if it falls through 1.50 I will be out.
The H&S is still on the cards. Fingers crossed she holds up.
What's the current cash backing?
It was about $2.50 ish I thought.
Surely limited downside if that's the case, but it did fall 60c or something previously ....
No, looked to be overdone there in hindsight. There were a few running too far away during the bubble. It may come down to what they do with their balance sheet. What assets are they going to pick up to further grow the company. I suppose they've been waiting to see how the market unfolds but on the other hand may have missed some good opportunities. Check out BRM, SRL! You need some IO in the portfolio and it's cheap as chips!! Maybe PRU for some gold!!! lol Maybe there'll be another chance when the market finally corrects back again?Tbh I can't see SRL rising to its former glory as an $8 stock,
Considering SRL was well and truly derisked with the partial sale of the coal assets it has been remarkably slow to return to a more reasonable value. It has been a real opportunity cost holding these while others have tripled and more in the time that it took SRL to put on 50 or 60%, but finally patience seems to be being rewarded. Still trading at a significant discount to cash and asset backing, but not for much longer I hope...
WTF are SRL doing with these handmeouts to junior crappo companies who obviously can't convince a bank to led them money?
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