skc
Goldmember
- Joined
- 12 August 2008
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I have been playing around with some dividend stripping recently. I found that in general, the fall in share price is less than the dividend drop off. Any franking credits will be cream on top.
This is particularly true for stocks that are in prominent uptrends. It is also true for many stocks that have relatively low liquidity. My suspicion is that some retail investors forgot to pull / adjust their bid price on ex-div dates.
This observation however is based only on this most recent dividend season, and the overall market has been strong throughout the last month or so.
Will be interesting to see how SRL go tomorrow.
Fundamentally SRL is still trading well below NTA, most of which is holding in the Singaporian listed Straits Asia - but that may not have any bearing on how it fare tomorrow.
skc, did you buy or do you hold SRL.
It's looking ok at the moment, I placed the funds in SMX as its had a clean break above $6.50 this morning.
SMX is looking decent. Although on a down day its liquidity can be quite low. I was tempted to short SMX (as part of a pairs trade) but since you are long I will probably not pull the trigger. The long leg would have been OKN or DWS.
On testing my Metastock signals only 37.72% of them are successful, the "eyeball the results" procedure improves that enormously.
So, because I am long, in theory there is a 62% chance of a short working
I've just sold my SRL shares and I am happy.
I had also tried averaging and it did help but I considered it more luck rather than skill.
SRL
went up today on good volumes
weekly and monthly charts all heading north
EMAs look pretty sweet
SRL
went up today on good volumes
weekly and monthly charts all heading north
EMAs look pretty sweet
me thinks you may kick yourself in the near future
Kennas - book value maybe but what about net profits were losses 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010
Heres a shares that is mining all the hot stuff - gold, coal, copper silver but it doesn't make a buck (op losses 24m) but two directors still get $6m additional for the year in loans for shares under an exec share scheme?????!!!!
These 2 directors loan balances total $21m! - they must be hanging out for a t/o bid so they can clear them at a profit as they don't seem to manage profits operationally
I trawled through the 2009 ann report, hard going and couldn't get my head around valuing it, so your're probably as close as anyone
I put no value whatsoever on Triton and Mt Muro, they are crap. As soon as it's close to it's NTA it's probably not worth holding imo. Management haven't got a clue on this one, how they ever turned it into such a big company is beyond me.I think the play on SRL is completely different...
The truth is, SRL Asia is a listed company on Singapore and can be readily valued. Same with cash (for obvious reasons).
According to Kennas' numbers there is 38c upside in the share price on those two assets alone. You don't need any valuation on the other assets (as long as they are not negative value) to realise that SRL is for some reason trading at a large discount to something very tangible...
I hold and will continue to do so until that gap is closed (via SRL going up or SRL Asia going down).
Looks like SRL are going to sell their only real assets in the coal to Asia and rename themselves as a metal explorer/miner.I put no value whatsoever on Triton and Mt Muro, they are crap..
Looks like SRL are going to sell their only real assets in the coal to Asia and rename themselves as a metal explorer/miner.
Initially this is a very good idea as it will definately unlock the cash and investment value to shareholders.
However, what you're left with is a down right turkey with the key assets being Mt Muro and Tritton. While they are trying to realise the value of the non coal assets to shareholders, I think what they'll be left with is what they are currently rated as. Dirt.
My shout if you are ever in Brisbane. :bier:
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