SP500 Chippchat

[Chipp]

SPX historical strong 2 week periods

 

[Chipp]

Follow on from post above results from a lazy bit of code i just wrote , entry is not day perfect but the sense of the performance in first 2 weeks of july is well revealed . Compelling Win Rate over 20 years and out of sample prior is not that different so seems a solid pattern .

 

[Chipp]

 

[Chipp]

Follow on from post above results from a lazy bit of code i just wrote , entry is not day perfect but the sense of the performance in first 2 weeks of july is well revealed . Compelling Win Rate over 20 years and out of sample prior is not that different so seems a solid pattern .


View attachment 179601

And solid is this years performance

 

[Chipp]

Not looking like a great night in US developing here 10 of 10 NDX big caps are red premarket , NQ had a -500 intra last week and one leads to another

 

[Chipp]

 

[qldfrog]

Not looking like a great night in US developing here 10 of 10 NDX big caps are red premarket , NQ had a -500 intra last week and one leads to another

View attachment 180956

Just reversal: big caps to Russel as a new trend?

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Just reversal: big caps to Russel as a new trend?

interesting rotations ... investors were seen shifting towards small cap stocks as bets for a September US rate pivot reached 100 per cent.

overnight

• Nasdaq Composite was 2.8 per cent lower at the close in New York.
• S&P 500 shed 1.4 per cent.
• Dow Jones was 0.6 per cent higher.
• The NYSE Fang + Index, which tracks the megacap techs, fell 3.3 per cent.
• Russell 2000 Index, down 1.1 per cent
• The VIX, or Wall Street’s favourite volatility metric, spiked 9.8 per cent, briefly reaching its highest in six weeks.
• the yield on the US 10-year note was unchanged at 4.16 per cent

.
Not really happening here.

 

[Chipp]

NQ had a -500 intra last week and one leads to another

NQ ended -600 . Chart was knocking against a key level afterall .

 

[Chipp]

Google and Tesla the major releases next week

 

[Chipp]

NDX nudging a channel break , maybe another bull flag or maybe a little more ominous . NDX down 5.5% from 5 day high with SPX down 3% , no panic stations yet . We had larger 5d downmoves in April around opex as well .

 

[Chipp]

Bit of a 50/50 bias into last half July SPX

 

[Chipp]

A new model ive been working on has this weeks SPX as a green week , look to buy some calls today and be a dip buyer NQ futures where applicable . No real key data till Thursday/Friday nights . TSLA & GOOG the big earnings events this week , both after close Tuesday . Opex shennanigins done so looking for a drop in vol . Biden thrown the towel so bit of closure there also