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PNN is out of control. It could take the first place for the race to producer in Australia amount the junior hopeful. The speed of dash is beyond my imagination. But it is understandable.
A good company with almost everything taken care of. In a good state, advanced in project, financially sound, strong Chinese backup, and Chinese customers as well.
assuming AGS is valued on NPV basis:
AGS
mkt cap $645m
possible resource still not JORC (25% of 40kt total) 10,000t
PNN
mkt cap $153
JORC resource 6740t (so 67% of AGS resource)
67% of $645m = $431m / 68.7m PNN shares
=> PNN share price $6.33
this is all guess work and can't compare apples and oranges etc etc but if you take the implicit SMM valuation from Avera's buy-in as US$30/lb:
for PNN
14.828m lbs U * US$30 / 68.7m shares
=> PNN share price of US$6.48 / approx A$8.00
which is why you're crying mmmmining cause no ones taking it over now with Sino on board - or can they?
Having briefly reviewed last years accounts:
http://www.pepinnini.com.au/media_releases_files/Pep_AR06.pdf
...one thing stands out (besides the usual losses of exploration companies):
..at current expenditure levels, PNN has only enough cash ($1.4million) to fund exploration for 2 more years.
Does anyone know where they will be getting more money from to fund further exploration...and at what point do you expect them to start getting some income? Surely the idea of any non-charity is to make a profit?
Thanks
PG
That's not that flash is it.So far I get
19.8mil lbs(40%) owned = 7.92mil lbs
PNN mkt cap about $180m.
re: exploration potential - surface samples don't mean too much. I saw the anomalies and they looked small.
Currently exploration potential aside(every u company has exploration of some degree), its valued at $22/lb of every pound in the ground.
I think you're right - this is no longer the bargain it was - with the 40% share in U deposit now my valuation above looks more like a $3.20 value for PNN
There are some other factors though that may drive sp above this:
- drilling on other U potential sites could increase U resource
- drilling on musgrave nickel/copper area seems to have potential
Also 21m shares have just been released from escrow - you'd think logically this would dampen price but in the past I've seen this have the opposite affect - not really sure why - can someone explain - is it because theres more volume bigger players can get in without pushing price up too much? PNN has traditionally been a very low volume trader...
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