tech/a
No Ordinary Duck
- Joined
- 14 October 2004
- Posts
- 20,448
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I just got ride of the"dog" today..with a heavy loss.
Unfortunately both the announcement of the audio of the "major upgrade" or hangseng's ramping didn't work.
When an announcement is made I like to see the effect of the announcement from the market's initial reaction before deciding whether or not trade.
Looking at the price weighted volume:
Up to the announcement, the ratio of Buy trades to Sell trades was a positive 2.82
Between the time of the announcements and hangseng's ramp this had dropped to 1.88
From Hangseng's post to close it had gone to negative (more sell trades than buy trades) 3.46
The last 20 trades up to close was negative 12.06.
Market was not impressed. Sentiment may change tomorrow or it may not.
Cheers
Country Lad
Hey hangseng,
Todays announcement must be music to your ears...
Peninsula Energy Limited (Peninsula) is pleased to announce that it has entered into an
agreement to raise A$15,000,000 through a private placement to NuCore Energy LLC, a
North American company whose focus is the commercial nuclear fuels market and services
sector.
The Placement is priced at a 50% premium to the 10 day volume weighted average price (VWAP) in the period immediately following publication of the Company’s Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) at the Lance Projects in Wyoming, USA (Lance) and includes one free attaching listed option exercisable at 3 cents on or before 31 December 2015 (PENOC) for every share subscribed (Strategic Placement).
Not sure I understand your praise. At 7c share price they get 2 shares for 13.5c (10.5c + 3c). Therefore, they've been granted shares at a discount (4%), if they decide to buy the options now. PLUS they've just diluted the shares on offer.Doesn't this free option @ 3c pretty much negates the 50% premium? At 7c share price, they pay 10.5c for each new share but get an oppie that's 4c in the money...
Well at least they raised some funds without much of a discount in the current environment which is an achievement.
Not sure I understand your praise. At 7c share price they get 2 shares for 13.5c (10.5c + 3c). Therefore, they've been granted shares at a discount (4%), if they decide to buy the options now. PLUS they've just diluted the shares on offer.
I'm going to post some information here, and try to wrap my head around what it means. What I'm doing is posting every price sensitive piece of information since the 05/05 and the opening and closing SP. in the order of opening, date, closing, announcement.
.081 - 05/05 - .083 - new roll front system + high grade drill results
.085 - 12/05 - .083 - Outstanding U and associated Mo grades Karoo
.083 - 16/05 - .079 - Ross ISR Permitting ahead of schedule
.079 - 08/06 - .076 - High Grade U results
.070 - 17/06 - .068 - Major resource upgrade
.067 - 23/06 - .067 - Strategic Alliance
Alrighty then!.. we have.. 6 seemingly incredibly positive announcements. But, the shareprice has been dropping this whole time. Surely not on the U price because spot and long-term have been relatively flat in the past two months.
So logically that would suggest that the results being returned are less than the market expected.. But wait! a 25% resource upgrade. Well, the market can't of expected that and they definately couldn't have already factored it into the SP (the SP would have had to have gone up on continued high grade results and higher resource estimates, not down, if that were the case).
We have seen one out of six positive announcements return a price increase, which was the first, and was quickly quashed by the next 5 positive announcements which all returned negative results.
It is actually possible to draw a logical conclusion suggesting we should see a decrease in the SP on the back of a good and possibly/probably better than expected DFS.
source: "jamiebook" from another forum
I have seen over exposure with many spekkies, they announce too much and the market becomes blasé and eventually the really good news has no effect. PEN has made 15 non statutory announcements in 3 months, or one every 4 trading days and total of 32 or 1 every 2 trading days on average.
Too much noise maybe?
The initial response today was positive with the volume weighted buy:sell ratio being 1.8 to 1 and the price up 4.4%. For the rest of the day the volume was only just over half of the first hour and the buy:sell ratio 0.7.
Reaction seems to be one of ho hum, another nannouncement.
Cheers
Country Lad
1,234,567
Capital raising of 15 million is bugger all.
If they were looking for a few 100 million then you could get excited.
A decient property development would be more than $15 mill!
Why all the excitement?
Capital raising of 15 million is bugger all.
If they were looking for a few 100 million then you could get excited.
A decient property development would be more than $15 mill!
Why all the excitement?
I have seen over exposure with many spekkies, they announce too much and the market becomes blasé and eventually the really good news has no effect. PEN has made 15 non statutory announcements in 3 months, or one every 4 trading days and total of 32 or 1 every 2 trading days on average.
Too much noise maybe?
The initial response today was positive with the volume weighted buy:sell ratio being 1.8 to 1 and the price up 4.4%. For the rest of the day the volume was only just over half of the first hour and the buy:sell ratio 0.7.
Reaction seems to be one of ho hum, another nannouncement.
Cheers
Country Lad
Capital raising of 15 million is bugger all.
If they were looking for a few 100 million then you could get excited.
A decient property development would be more than $15 mill!
Why all the excitement?
You didn't actually read the announcement did you tech: ..... Its not the $15 million dollars, although that will come in handy.
Just to refresh .....
Under the terms of the Share Placement, Peninsula will appoint Mr Jim Cornell to the Board as Executive Director–Sales and Marketing.
Who is this Mr Cornell I hear you ask?
While he was the President and Chief Executive Officer of Nukem, the company grew into one of the largest suppliers of nuclear fuel worldwide.
Based on annual uranium deliveries, it continues to rank along with Cameco, AREVA, Rio Tinto Uranium, and BHP Billiton in the top five uranium suppliers. Mr. Cornell’s principal responsibilities involved the management of Nukem’s uranium purchase and sale agreements, as well as its inventory holdings.
While at Nukem, Mr. Cornell served as one of the principal negotiators of the historic U.S.-Russian HEU Agreement and negotiated long-term uranium marketing arrangements with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. In addition, he developed long-term teaming arrangements with major industry participants including General Electric, Westinghouse, Cameco, AREVA and Babcock and Wilcox.
Mr. Cornell is recognized as a leading authority on the nuclear fuel market
Its the equivalent of getting Gus Gould to coach your local under 15 footy side ...... That is worth getting excited about
I would agree with CL and Tech.
The conversations here are reminiscent of those during the tech bubble and the GFC when internet minnows and financial cripples like BNB were going belly up, and to the last day had loyal followers and tea leaf readers.
All information is contained in one metric, the price.
The price of PEN has collapsed losing adherents thousands of dollars.
It is a very sick stock having lost over 50% of it's value in just 4 months.
If it were a horse you would think about taking it out of it's misery.
gg
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