- Joined
- 3 July 2009
- Posts
- 27,650
- Reactions
- 24,557
Can someone give me an idea why volatility is less after this sell off compared to the last one??
More confidence this time perhaps?View attachment 89764
CONDENSED TakeawayView attachment 89963
https://finance.yahoo.com/m/9f64424...f75c26a/ss_stocks-mostly-recover-from-an.html
Stocks mostly recover from an early plunge on Wall Street
ALEX VEIGA
Associated Press October 24, 2018
A turbulent day on Wall Street ended Tuesday with stocks climbing nearly all the way out of a steep, broad sell-off that at one point erased more than 500 points from the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Even with the late-afternoon rebound, stocks extended the market's recent string of declines, giving the benchmark S&P 500 index its fifth-straight loss. Bond prices rose, sending yields lower, as investors sought out safer investments.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index sank 3.1 percent. European markets also closed sharply lower.
The latest selling came as investors grew unsettled over slowing economic growth in China and increased signs that President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policies are beginning to weigh on corporate earnings. Caterpillar and 3M slumped Tuesday after the companies warned of rising costs related to tariffs.
"That's the story, it's not the current quarter results, but the commentary going forward, the impact of tariffs and what that means in terms of costs," said Willie Delwiche, an investment strategist at Baird. "If tariffs didn't come up in earnings calls and commentary, then maybe you could say we were moving away from that, but the opposite is happening."
The S&P 500 fell 15.19 points, or 0.6 percent, to 2,740.69. The Dow lost 125.98 points, or 0.5 percent, to 25,191.43. The average had been down more than 540 points.
The Nasdaq slid 31.09 points, or 0.4 percent, to 7,437.54. The Russell 2000 index of smaller-company stocks gave up 12.91 points, or 0.8 percent, to 1,526.59. The index is now down for the year.
Markets have been rattled in recent weeks by increased worries over the impact that rising interest rates, inflation and the escalating trade dispute between the U.S. and China may have on Corporate America.
Trump has imposed tariffs on about $250 billion in Chinese imports, and Beijing has retaliated by targeting $110 billion in American products. Trump has threatened to tax another $267 billion in Chinese products, a move that would cover virtually everything China ships to America.
The two countries are locked in a dispute over U.S. allegations that China steals U.S. technology and forces U.S. companies to share trade secrets in exchange for access to the Chinese market.
Recent data show China's economic engine is growing more slowly. From July to September, it grew 6.5 percent, the slowest pace since early 2009. The world's second-largest economy was cooling even before the outbreak of a tariff war with Washington. That contrasts with the momentum of the U.S. economy. The government is expected to say Friday that the U.S. economy grew by 3.3 percent in the third quarter, after growing by 4.2 percent in the second quarter.
The strong U.S. economy has helped power earnings growth for companies in the S&P 500. While those companies are expected to deliver 21.9 percent earnings growth for the third quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence, investors are concerned about future growth amid rising inflation, interest rates and uncertainty over trade.
Caterpillar skidded 7.6 percent to $118.98 after the heavy equipment manufacturer warned that Trump's taxes on imported steel were driving up production costs.
3M fell 4.4 percent to $192.55 after its earnings missed Wall Street's targets. The industrial manufacturer said it expects raw material prices to continue climbing, and for tariffs to have a roughly $100 million negative impact on the company's sourcing costs next year.
Caterpillar and 3M were, by far, the biggest decliners in the 30-company Dow average.
Losses in banks, energy and technology companies outweighed gains by internet and consumer-goods stocks. A sharp sell-off in Chinese and other global markets set the stage for the volatile day on Wall Street.
Bond prices rose, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down to 3.17 percent from 3.19 percent late Monday.
Computer-driven trading, which uses algorithms to guide buying and selling, likely drove the gradual, partial rebound toward the end of the day, said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial.
"On the downside and the upside the algorithms are going to kick in and they really push the market in one direction or another," Krosby said.
A big drop in oil prices weighed on energy stocks Tuesday. Marathon Oil dropped 4.8 percent to $19.48.
Truck maker Paccar fell 5.1 percent to $57.40, while engine manufacturer Cummins slid 3.8 percent to $134.64.
Communications stocks were among the biggest gainers. Verizon Communications climbed 4.1 percent to $57.21
Traders also bid up shares in McDonald's after the fast-food chain reported third-quarter results that topped analysts' forecasts. The stock gained 6.3 percent to $177.15.
Close to 17 percent of companies on the broad S&P 500 index have reported earnings for the third quarter, and over half of them did better than expected.
"They're coming in ahead of expectations, generally, but the degree to which they're beating expectations is less than what it has been in previous quarters," Delwiche said. "That's why there's some concern there."
Tesla was among the big gainers Tuesday. The stock vaulted 12.7 percent to $294.14 after Citron Research, a company that for years had bet against the stock, reversed its position and put out a note saying it would be a long-term investor in the electric car and solar panel company.
U.S. crude fell 4.2 percent to settle at $66.43 per barrel. Brent crude, used to price international oils, dropped 4.2 percent to close at $76.44 per barrel. Heating oil slid 3 percent to $2.25 a gallon. Wholesale gasoline lost 3.7 percent to $1.84 a gallon. Natural gas gained 2.4 percent to $3.21 per 1,000 cubic feet.
The dollar weakened to 112.47 yen from 112.82 yen on Monday. The euro rose to $1.1467 from $1.1466.
Gold rose 1 percent to $1,236.80 an ounce. Silver gained 1.4 percent to $14.79 an ounce. Copper dropped 1 percent to $2.76 a pound.
In Europe, the focus was on Italy's dispute with the European Union over its plan to ramp up public spending. The European Union has rejected Italy's budget, a first for an EU member.
Germany's DAX slid 2.2 percent and France's CAC 40 fell 1.7 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 1.2 percent. Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell 2.7 percent and the Kospi in South Korea tumbled 2.6 percent.
A SEA OF GREEN FOR A CHANGE
View attachment 90085
https://www.usnews.com/news/busines...es-climb-on-strong-us-earnings-boj-stands-pat
US Stocks Rally Again, but Finish October With Steep Losses
Stocks climbed for the second day in a row Wednesday at the end of a brutal month for the global market.
By MARLEY JAY, AP Markets Writer
NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks climbed for the second day in a row Wednesday at the end of a brutal month for the global market. Investors applauded strong quarterly results from companies including Facebook and General Motors, but U.S. stocks still finished with their worst monthly loss in seven years.
Markets in Europe, Asia and the U.S. rallied following better-than-expected results from various companies and continued hiring by U.S. businesses. Many of the biggest gains Wednesday came from technology and internet companies and retailers, which plunged early in October as investors worried about rising interest rates and the U.S.-China trade dispute.
The S&P 500 hadn't risen for two consecutive days since late September. It finished October with a loss of 6.9 percent, its worst since September 2011. The third quarter of this year was the best in five years for U.S. stocks, but those gains were wiped out this month. The S&P 500 is now up 1.4 percent for the year.
Stocks began sinking on Oct. 3 as interest rates rocketed higher. Even after those gains eased, investors kept selling stocks as they worried about the trade dispute and other factors that could also hurt economic growth and company profits.
Investors are that much more nervous because corporate profit growth is already expected to slow in 2019 after it jumped this year, a big portion of which stemmed from the one-time corporate tax cut.
Schroders Investment Strategist Marina Severinovsky said several different factors could help stocks over the next few weeks: corporate stock purchases are expected to increase, and U.S. President Donald Trump and China's Xi Jinping could meet next month, an opportunity for progress in U.S.-China trade talks.
"If there's any kind of movement, even a stay of execution (on tariff hikes), could be a positive for the market," she said. Severinovsky added that whatever the outcome of next week's midterm elections, stocks will probably rise once they are over.
"Markets tend to rally on certainty," she said.
The S&P 500 index rose 29.11 points, or 1.1 percent, to 2,711.74. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 241.12 points, or 1 percent, to 25,115.76. The Nasdaq composite jumped 144.25 points, or 2 percent, to 7,305.90.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies edged up 4.78 points, or 0.3 percent, to 1,511.41. Smaller and more U.S.-focused companies did even worse than the rest of the stock market in October.
Facebook had a mixed third quarter, with better-than-expected earnings and disappointing revenue. But after the company's recent losses, even that was a relief to Wall Street. After a 2.9 percent gain Tuesday, the stock rose 3.8 percent to $151.79.
Other high-flying internet and tech stocks did better. Netflix jumped 5.6 percent to $301.78 and Amazon soared 4.4 percent to $1,598.01. Apple, which held up much better than the broader stock market this month, gained 2.6 percent to $218.86.
Facebook has plummeted 30 percent since reaching a record high in late July. That same month, the social network reported weaker-than-expected user growth and said it's spending more on security, moderation and product development.
Investors worry that companies like Facebook will be subject to more regulation following several data privacy scandals as well as online election meddling from outside the U.S. Facebook is also facing harsh criticism that its platform is being used to inflame ethnic and religious conflict in Myanmar. On top of all that, high-tech stocks like Facebook have stumbled this month as investors looked for safer, steadier options.
Amazon fell 20 percent for the month, wiping out around $200 billion in market value. The tech-heavy Nasdaq skidded 9.2 percent, its biggest one-month loss since November 2008.
General Motors also did far better than expected in the third quarter as it raised prices in North America and its China division held up well. The company also moved to cut costs by offering buyouts to about 18,000 white-collar employees in North America. The stock jumped 9.1 percent to $36.59.
Bond prices dropped. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.14 percent from 3.11 percent.
The French CAC 40 surged 2.3 percent as aircraft maker Airbus and cosmetics maker L'Oreal's both jumped. Germany's DAX gained 1.4 percent and Britain's FTSE 100 added 1.3 percent.
Japan's Nikkei 225 index jumped 2.2 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 1.6 percent. The Kospi in South Korea gained 0.7 percent.
Stock indexes overseas also tumbled in October. The Hang Seng, Kospi, CAC 40 and Mexico's Bolsa all did worse than the S&P 500. U.S. stocks had done far better than all of those indexes this year.
"The U.S. was showing extraordinary outperformance to the rest of the world, and it wasn't necessarily justifiable," said Severinovsky, of Schroeders.
The last winning streak for the S&P 500 was a three-day string of gains that ended on Sept. 20, the day of its latest record high. That was 28 trading days ago. According to Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial, that's one of the longest gaps since the Great Depression: the S&P 500 also went 28 days without a winning streak in 1970, 1994 and 2015.
Benchmark U.S. crude fell 1.3 percent to $65.31 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, used to price international oils, shed 0.6 percent to $75.47 per barrel in London.
Energy companies have lagged the market as U.S. crude has fallen 10 percent this month.
Wholesale gasoline lost 2.1 percent to $1.77 a gallon. Heating oil edged up 0.1 percent to $2.26 a gallon. Natural gas rose 2.3 percent to $3.26 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Gold lost 0.8 percent to $1,215 an ounce. Silver fell 1.2 percent to $14.28 an ounce. Copper slipped 0.2 percent to $2.66 a pound.
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?