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More to do with the US expansion.... could be massive if it is profitable.Inherited a few of these at 50c, been a parabolic rise lately...demand for milk from China?
Picking up from the "Breakout" thread, where Tape Trader commented on a recent flag pattern, yet asked, why no announcement?
I believe the announcements of recent months, concerning Director interest and option exercises, would have spoken volumes! A few progress reports about China and Vietnam were hidden among them...
The long-term chart paints an even clearer "flag" picture. (I'd ignore the brief jump to extremes before the current rectangle.)
View attachment 67241
Not holding yet, but I am watching, cash ready, for the next move underpinned by volume..
Broke the resistance!A chart for FNP, it may see a bit of price resistance coming from a triple top resistance and a rising support/resistance at its current level between $5.20 and $5.40. There was a volume spike on March 15th, there was no ASX notice around this time to explain it.
View attachment 93858
Very interesting Miner - there's gold in 'dem hills surelyFolks
Could any one holding or following FNP, please advise what made these directors (same family) so loving about FNP's future to spend millions even after a not so impressive trading update.
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200604/pdf/44jdc0s84zk8qb.pdf
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200604/pdf/44jdbyrjw8frmb.pdf
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200604/pdf/44jdbwqtk9m7dd.pdf
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200529/pdf/44j6tmhcz8j7kb.pdf COVID UPDATE
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200506/pdf/44hm62y2sthz18.pdf
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200306/pdf/44ft8142j2j1w4.pdf
Hey @HuskarVery interesting Miner - there's gold in 'dem hills surely(can't help myself....)
Former market darling, I haven't looked at it in quite a while. Still very expensive with $1bn market cap on $472m sales and $55.2m EBITDA for FY2019.
But it has made significant investments ($170m in FY19) and so fruits of that should show through in next year or so.
Their key products are dairy & nutritional ingredients and plant-based beverages - are people going to be using these if there's an economic downturn? And aren't people drinking less dairy these days?
I'm very interested and will look into it closer
the Company as a prudent measure to ensure financial flexibility deferred the H1 FY2020 dividend as announced on 28 February 2020 to a payment date to be determined. The Company has now decided to cancel this dividend. The Company does not anticipate paying a full year dividend.
Very good update.The Perich family holds something like 59% of FNP, so the free float tends to be restricted. Directors Michael, Ron and Anthony P plus Tom Bryan all added to holdings recently, buying on-market.
Latest update, 31 May, was eventually seen as 'less bad than it might have been', and Directors buying; SP is up bit since early June low of $3.40:
• Sales normalising through May to pre COVID volumes in retail grocery in Australia.
• Lower demand in Out of Home and Industrial Channels through April and May, with tentative signs of recovery arising from changes to stay at home restrictions.
• Increasing export demand in SE Asia and China from retail grocery channels after periods of significant decline in the first quarter of calendar 2020.
• Margin decline against pre COVID plan given shifts in channel and portfolio mix.
• No delays in supply chain arrangements have been experienced into China and SE Asia.
• Reshaping of operational footprint to increase efficiency and realise material cash savings into FY 2021. Costs of restructuring and write-down of non-cash obsolete and discontinued stock provision to be required for FY 2020.
• Material impact on second half profitability with consequential flow on impact to our pre COVID 19 expectations
Also, sneeking in on the bottom point, as indicated,
The Company remains focused on "delivering on its unique capabilities and opportunities across Dairy Beverages and Nutritionals, Plant Based Beverages and Specialty Cereals and Snacks."
- 20% of branded UHT milk ("Australia's Own", + MilkLab) ... big in Asia
- largest on-roof solar battery project in Vic (Shepparton factory) ... offset for dairy
- coming to an end of the 5-year spend for new facilities and marketing
- am somewhat suss for their cereal and snack offerings, as they are relegated to the niche end of the supermarket aisles
View attachment 104471
which is early in the Trade Standoff argy-bargy being played out by Beijing.One of China’s biggest investors in Australian agriculture is caught up in Beijing’s bans on beef imports apparently over trivial labelling issues.
New Hope Group-controlled Kilcoy Global Foods was also hit by not-so-friendly fire in 2017 when a Chinese ban on its beef imports dragged on for three months....
... and my suspicion is that New Hope Group may sit on the wrong side of current CCP power struggle, and/or maybe being a bit too 'autonomous' for Beijing's liking. There's a picture dated 2015 of New Hope's Liu Yonghao, Pres Xi Jinping, PM at the time Tony Abbott and Twiggy Forrest signing a food and farming agreement in Beijing.New Hope formed Australian Fresh Milk Holdings in 2015 through a $100 million deal with the Moxey and Perich dairy farming families in NSW. The other shareholder is ASX-listed Freedom Foods [with 10%].
Australian Fresh Milk Holdings expanded its vast dairy footprint in January with the $40 million acquisition of four linked properties in northern Victoria covering 4000 hectares and with annual water entitlements of more than 6700 megalitres
Dona; I thought we were going to have a chat about Vulcan Energy?I have no proof, but a sneaking suspicion about the dividend being withheld. Some call it Prudent allocation of Capital (in these challenging times), but there may be the China factor overhanging the growth strategy.
From AFR 13 May;
which is early in the Trade Standoff argy-bargy being played out by Beijing.
.... article goes on to say:
... and my suspicion is that New Hope Group may sit on the wrong side of current CCP power struggle, and/or maybe being a bit too 'autonomous' for Beijing's liking. There's a picture dated 2015 of New Hope's Liu Yonghao, Pres Xi Jinping, PM at the time Tony Abbott and Twiggy Forrest signing a food and farming agreement in Beijing.
And with FNP putting money in, recently, they'd be wanting a return on that investment.
Let's hope positive (not corona) on moneyI have no proof, but a sneaking suspicion about the dividend being withheld. Some call it Prudent allocation of Capital (in these challenging times), but there may be the China factor overhanging the growth strategy.
From AFR 13 May;
which is early in the Trade Standoff argy-bargy being played out by Beijing.
.... article goes on to say:
... and my suspicion is that New Hope Group may sit on the wrong side of current CCP power struggle, and/or maybe being a bit too 'autonomous' for Beijing's liking. There's a picture dated 2015 of New Hope's Liu Yonghao, Pres Xi Jinping, PM at the time Tony Abbott and Twiggy Forrest signing a food and farming agreement in Beijing.
And with FNP putting money in, recently, they'd be wanting a return on that investment.
"To lose one senior manager may be regarded as a misfortune; to lose two looks like carelessness"
Hush up for a big trading halt with sob?Wednesday morning, Freedom Foods announced its chief executive Rory Macleod was "on leave pending a further announcement", the day after its chief financial officer Campbell Nicholas resigned.
You are too politeFraud.
A leggedFraud.
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