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NBN Rollout Scrapped

Also, they won't even come out and check a fault if you don't have an 'approved' modem,

That would be a Telstra modem like a rebadged Cisco or something ... that's called innovation these days.
 
Some info today on FttDp,


http://www.zdnet.com/article/fttdp-...han-fttn-but-premature-for-entire-nbn-morrow/
 
The above also notes speed relativities between FttN and FttB,

 

In a senate select committee hearing yesterday, the above (in bold) has been confirmed.


https://11217-presscdn-0-50-pagely....6/03/130315_Bill-Morrow_opening_statement.pdf

My bolds.
 
More on FttDP from Lateline last night,


http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2015/s4425688.htm

The above, looking forward, creates an interesting dilemma for both the government and the opposition with respect to street FttN and FttP.

Presently, FttDP. looks like it will be implemented at specific locations where a commercial decision is made within the current government's rollout expectations. That would be the 200,000 premises indicated in the article linked from yesterday.

Looking forward, the government is not, strictly speaking, wedded to one form of technology for the land line rollout but would have to compromise on initial rollout cost and timeframe for greater FttDP adoption. This would be the most appropriate course if the economics (business case) stack up which becomes increasingly likely as the cost of FttDP comes down to relatively to the cost of street FttN. Ideally, the economics would be considered on a location by location basis rather than across the board.

For Labor, the above developments with FttDP further illustrate the fallacy of their initial FTTP only landline rollout as it did in relation to MDU's. It will be interesting to see at what point they back away further from FTTP.

A link to the leaked NBN internal document mentioned in the above Lateline report is available from the following link,

https://delimiter.com.au/2016/03/16/delimiter-publishes-nbns-leaked-secret-fttdp-plan/

Judging by the date, someone may have had it for some time.
 
I'm skeptical that it could cost an average of $1700 to take fibre from the front gate into the building.

That aside, FttDP is clearly a better alternative than FTTN, but is being blocked by a Govt that blindly cares only about initial cost and time, with absolutely zero thought being given to capability, future upgrade costs/time, operational expenses etc.

We already saw a while back the analysis that even FTTN costs overtook full FTTP after just 10 years. Here we have a intermediate technology, which offers almost FTTP capability for (allegedly) less than 1/3 the premium of an FTTP build. But they won't do it because no weight is given to the future. Welcome to the ideas boom, where great ideas go BOOM.
 
We already saw a while back the analysis that even FTTN costs overtook full FTTP after just 10 years.
That analysis was flawed as noted at the time.

I'm curious though.

What do you think Labor should now do given the above with FttDP and what do you think is now the role for FttP in the overall rollout ?
 
That analysis was flawed as noted at the time.

I'm curious though.

What do you think Labor should now do given the above with FttDP and what do you think is now the role for FttP in the overall rollout ?

You said it was flawed, that doesn't mean it was.

I'd like to see more info on FttDP before committing.
 
You said it was flawed, that doesn't mean it was.
At the time, I offered reasons as to why that analysis was flawed which you've failed to rebut despite your repeated references to that analysis since.
 
At the time, I offered reasons as to why that analysis was flawed which you've failed to rebut despite your repeated references to that analysis since.

Other than that one post above, I actually haven't referred to it at all since. But hey, don't go letting the truth get in the way of a good story.

I didn't think it was really worth rebutting. You gave your opinion on his analysis. You didn't refute anything, you just questioned some of his assumptions.

It's acknowledged fact that FTTN opex is higher than FTTP opex. You might disagree with his calculations on the difference, but that's your assumptions against his assumptions. The fact remains that it's higher. Faults are higher, maintenance is higher, electricity costs are higher.

It's also widely accepted that FTTN revenue is lower than FTTP revenue, because it's often impossible to achieve the same speeds. There's less chance of a customer choosing a 100Mbps plan on FTTN, because it's often incapable of achieving that speed. Also, one could assume that faster speeds will lead to more data volume, causing ISPs to provision more CVC, thus earning NBN Co more revenue. As we move into the future, the gap will increase as more people want more speed. There will be zero FTTN customers on 250/400/1000Mbps plans, but there would be at least some FTTP customers who choose those speeds.
 
I didn't think it was really worth rebutting. You gave your opinion on his analysis. You didn't refute anything, you just questioned some of his assumptions.

It hasn't been demonstrated that his assumptions in that analysis are valid. His conclusions cannot therefore be regarded as valid and that's before we get to the errors and inadequate financial analysis which I also noted.

Other than that one post above, I actually haven't referred to it at all since. But hey, don't go letting the truth get in the way of a good story..

Feb 10 2016,

How much will this increase the FTTN cost, and what bearing will it have on the already tenuous claim that FTTN is cheaper than FTTP?

If you review some of your other posts in recent times and the responses that have followed, you'll note inaccuracy in those claims of yours as well.
 
That's not referring to that particular analysis, I've been saying it (ie FTTN being cheaper than FTTP) all along.

Again, there is more to the cost than the initial build. There is the additional opex/maintenance, the cost to the economy of having a less capable, less reliable network and the cost of future upgrades. Like I said, it is tenuous to claim flatly that FTTN is cheaper than FTTP.
 
More on FttDP,


http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/03/17/nbn_says_telstras_copper_in_better_shape_than_expected/

http://www.itnews.com.au/news/nbn-could-flip-300000-premises-from-fttn-to-fttdp-417081

http://www.zdnet.com/article/nbn-announces-fttdp-trials-across-sydney-melbourne/
 
A couple more articles on FttDP which together include an interesting aside on the cost of connecting a handful of semi-rural properties under the USO,


http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/03/17/nbn_shifts_the_conversation_to_copper_upgrades/


http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/596198/nbn-trial-fibre-pit-technology/
 
Yeah, I wrote long ago that FTTN for semi-rural areas would be problematic, because the large distance between houses would mean poor performance and/or high costs.

So FttDP will work nicely for them. I'd be happy with it too, but I'm skeptical it would be much cheaper than proper FTTP for a number of reasons.... There are a lot of places (like mine) where copper is aerial, and there are no pits. Can they go on poles?

Here's an idea, let's swallow 'our' pride and just go back to FTTP.
 
Edit: Seems the ASF forum didn't like the F word being in the link, so I've created a bit link.
With your above two posts it's possible to compare the relative greenness of the grass.

You still have the shrine to Stephen Conroy crowned with his red underpants and I have a Telstra pit out the front.
 
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