Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

My simple thing

Joined
2 April 2024
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Hi all,

Hope everyone is happy and healthy. Tonight I just had a time to toy around with my smoothing method. You can call this indicator smooth McD, Stochastic momentum or whichever you like .

I can see the potential of the second smoothing method that produce less noise noise than the first one

1740220726216.png
 
Hi all,

Hope everyone is happy and healthy. Tonight I just had a time to toy around with my smoothing method. You can call this indicator smooth McD, Stochastic momentum or whichever you like .

I can see the potential of the second smoothing method that produce less noise noise than the first one

View attachment 193860
So, NAB buy or sell?

I guess you're saying BUY!
 
Sean, this is not a buy or sell recommendation. In saying this, even on the Stock pick with my actual system that have buy and sell signal I always put a disclaimer. you can see some of my post that I displayed and they are part or were part of my portfolio.

The indicator aims to smooth a short sell system deployment that I have just recently coded.

You have a great weekend and don't think too much
 
Today is my day off and I had a chance to look at this forum and scribble a bit of the thread. I guess there is nothing new in trading. One system is similar to each other. difference may be from the entry style and major ingredients

Fundamental : Trade the whole basket ASX (TLSE: Trade Long Short Equity)
Trade Type: Long Side Only (Short side is underdevelopment)
Timeframe : Complex Weekly ( Just a name nothing so difficult)
Status : In the market
Components
* Similar to Linear Regression Trend indicator with minimum excess
*Simplified Keltner with second degree smoothing
*Only trade a high turnover stock
* A bit of volatility
* Simple trail stop exit
* Trigger is " A new high" Similar to CAM from Barbara Star( that's why I was asking a few people regarding this thing) with a wild twist
* Entry Style: Semi BO (this is because of the component that construct the trigger)

TLWE v.3 EA - Backtest Report



Statistics

All tradesLong tradesShort trades
Initial capital100000.00100000.00100000.00
Ending capital26057526.5826057526.58100000.00
Net Profit25957526.5825957526.580.00
Net Profit %25957.53%25957.53%0.00%
Exposure %73.71%73.71%0.00%
Net Risk Adjusted Return %35216.04%35216.04%-nan(ind)%
Annual Return %18.27%18.27%0.00%
Risk Adjusted Return %24.79%24.79%-nan(ind)%
Transaction costs0.000.000.00

All trades16611661 (100.00 %)0 (0.00 %)
Avg. Profit/Loss15627.6515627.65-nan(ind)
Avg. Profit/Loss %7.07%7.07%-nan(ind)%
Avg. Bars Held35.9535.95-nan(ind)

Winners858 (51.66 %)858 (51.66 %)0 (0.00 %)
Total Profit53975739.7253975739.720.00
Avg. Profit62908.7962908.79-nan(ind)
Avg. Profit %22.58%22.58%-nan(ind)%
Avg. Bars Held49.0149.01-nan(ind)
Max. Consecutive12120
Largest win3402446.073402446.070.00
# bars in largest win98980

Losers803 (48.34 %)803 (48.34 %)0 (0.00 %)
Total Loss-28018213.13-28018213.130.00
Avg. Loss-34891.92-34891.92-nan(ind)
Avg. Loss %-9.51%-9.51%-nan(ind)%
Avg. Bars Held21.9921.99-nan(ind)
Max. Consecutive14140
Largest loss-1167822.44-1167822.440.00
# bars in largest loss880

Max. trade drawdown-1710825.87-1710825.870.00
Max. trade % drawdown-66.36-66.360.00
Max. system drawdown-3013443.17-3013443.170.00
Max. system % drawdown-39.09%-39.09%0.00%
Recovery Factor8.618.61-nan(ind)
CAR/MaxDD0.470.47-nan(ind)
RAR/MaxDD0.630.63-nan(ind)
Profit Factor1.931.93nan
Payoff Ratio1.801.80nan
Standard Error2816678.462816678.460.00
Risk-Reward Ratio0.210.21-nan(ind)
Ulcer Index9.999.990.00
Ulcer Performance Index1.291.29-inf
Sharpe Ratio of trades0.590.590.00
K-Ratio0.020.02-nan(ind)


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1740452625708.png

Key to look out in developing TS

1. thickness of the equity curve. this represents the frequency (fully invested funds or not) and the trading style ( swing or day trade). if the trade is frequent but the equity curve is flop then I would say a testing system only
2. ignore the 6 digit figure. Look at consecutive win loss and average win loss comparison. can I accept this?
3. put in indicator builder and have a feel for my own creation. See if the system is way too late or way too early in trade or signal appears at unwanted location. That's how I can avoid a curve fit system
4. Asset class Assumption. The more limitation the weaker my system

optimisation :? yes after reading a few articles I am keen to add my own custom ADX. We will see tonight
 
I assume profit are reinvested for duch a curve.was going to adk your backtest period..and the graph ended up loading..giving me the answer
Assume you use platinum Norgate or similar to include delisted codes,?
 
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