Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

25 yrs old
Nothing new
Developed “Tech Trader”
14 yrs ago

Anyone can do it
 
Anyone can do it? Thats good to know that anyone can beat market with 36% win ratio. Okay show me. Its a challenge !
 
25 yrs old
Nothing new
Developed “Tech Trader”
14 yrs ago

Anyone can do it
Indeed anyone can design a profitable trend-following strategy - it only requires a few simple rules.

But very few can actually trade such a strategy over the long term - thus missing out on the power of compounding.
 
Pages 101 to 107
Radge’s book
“Un holy Grails “

All there
I've always found it quite ironic/hypocritical, that when given the slightest chance of informing/reminding everyone about “Tech Trader”, you leap into action - yet you have completely stopped trading the system (last trade date getting close to 10 years?).

I've done some recent back-tests on “Tech Trader” and it's performance has been quite impressive post-GFC. The GFC draw-down is a mere blemish, compared to the returns that followed. Would you not have been better off financially, if you continued trading and scaling “Tech Trader”, rather than p*ss fart around with small scale discretionary trading (as you have posted after the death of “Tech Trader”)?
 
Not quite right
I trade a more refined version for my super
I trade discretionary for a bit of fun
 
Looks good but keep in mind a few things:
-For fair comparison use the ASX Accum index is up 22.46% in the same period
-Brokerage doesn't seem to be taken into account. Estimating $15k avg position x 0.1% comm x 2 (entry and exit) x 50 trades = $1500 Comm
So you end up with 23.76% vs 22.46%
Your risk management looks alright so maybe you'll outperform during sideways/down markets
 
Thnx for comment SkyQuake.
I used data for ASX 200 index and index return during the pd was 16.14%
I agree on brokerage costs which is 1% for buying and 1% for selling.
I also met few fund mgrs in Sydney who agreed on above return figures.
Appreciate your comment.
 
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