Realist
Billie Jean is not my lover
- Joined
- 1 June 2006
- Posts
- 2,057
- Reactions
- 3
Realist said:$3.93 now, I've made about 70% in 3 months wow.
The rumour is Glencore a Pommy company who own 40% of MRE are thinking of taking over the rest of MRE - hence the price keeps going up.
MRE is trading at a PER of 12 to FY07 earnings. Which is higher than competitors who are tradign at 10.
Future earnings are predictions and as such are just as likely to be wrong as they are right. MRE has alot of cash, is well run, over most of its problems, Nickle is strong and staying strong, and the current earnings of $200M+ per year is phenomenal. And the current PER is low.
I see no reason to sell yet.
Price is more than right for Minara
Date: 5/9/2006
Author: Jo Clarke
Source: The Australian Financial Review --- Page: 20
The performance of Australian nickel miner, Minara Resources, in the 2006 first half far exceeded expectations. It reported a net profit for the six months of $A100.7 million. This compares with just $A16.5 million for the same period the previous year. Minara's only asset is the Murrin Murrin nickel laterite project, which has been problematic and remains risky. The sole reason for its stellar result is the rising price of nickel. It reached $US3,000 a tonne in late August. Analysts expect the price to continue to rise unless there is a slowdown in the global economy
Profit takers moved in and sold this stock down in recent days.CanOz said:To me, MRE looks to be a very strong uptrend and starting another wave up. I can see you making allot more on this one Realist.
If metals continue strong then it will do well. I would still expect some corrective move in October though.
Cheers,
I still reckon its got more upside yet. Into its third wave up now, may see a pause again soon Realist but if i had it, i'd be tempted to hold onto it at least until you saw the trend reverse.Realist said:MRE has now more than doubled since I bought it, someone please convince me not to sell, I am getting more and more tempted...
Looks like I was too conservative again!rederob said:I did not sell MRE as it missed my price target from 1 September.
I will "hold" a bit longer as I can see $4.50 being reached in a few months.
Nickel inventories remain very tight and the $30k figure that used to be seen as a bogey, is now just seen as "fair".
Stainless producers have ramped up prices throughout this year, meaning the extra premium on nickel purchases is gradually being accommodated.
rederob said:Looks like I was too conservative again!
$6 now looking increasingly more obvious as the days roll on.
One I will sit back and relax on rather than try and time a sale as who knows where nickel is headed in coming months - new record highs already broken this month.
Profit of around $20,000 per tonne at moment, with annual output over 30,000 (conservatively). And with only 465 shares on issue.Freeballinginawetsuit said:Maybe it could be time to take your profits, seems overpriced at the moment considering its peers.
MRE still has a history of problems with the Murin Murin Plant, top heavy on costs and totally unhedged. Lots of maybe's and its not exactly as if their history wasn't with out hiccups.
Its not a Spec, its a producer,you can't predict the future but MRE has doubled in SP in recent months, thats a great return for a midcap miner!.
Realist said:The thing is I am making so much from this I wanna reduce tax by holding it over a year. The next dividends may be very large as well.
I'll hold and forget about it I think, until I've hit the one year mark anyway.
Realist said:Say I've made 130% now.
If I sell now after holding less than 1 year at 50% tax I've made only 65%.
If I hold for 1 year I've made 97.5%.
The stock would have to fall 40% frome here for me to lose out. And I will get dividends before the year is up so it'd need to drop nearly 45% , and if I sell now I miss the potential for MRE to go up further.
Has it topped? is it overvalued? I doubt it, and they have so much cash they can takeover other companies if they want.
I see no reason to sell.
Freeballinginawetsuit said:No probs, each to their own.
Not sure on your income, employee position etc but if youre fully into the shares maybe you should seek some tax advice as to a financial set up that minimizes your tax exposure on your share transactions. 50% tax is heaps!.
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