Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Reply to thread

Good morning


Lithium Summary

Record Australian lithium exports ($20 billion in 2022–23) are forecast

to decrease over the outlook period, as lower prices offset higher export

volumes ($16 billion in 2024–25). Prices are expected to fall due to the

lithium market entering a sustained period of surplus supply, but remain

well above levels prior to 2021.


Australian lithium mine production continues growing due to expansions

and new mines. Australia accounts for half of global lithium extraction

and rising production meets growing global battery demand for lithium.


Australia is developing capacity to refine lithium domestically, with three

lithium hydroxide refineries (operating or under construction) and a

newly announced lithium phosphate refinery. This contributes to the

diversifying global lithium refining and developing Australia’s battery

value chain.


Lithium World demand

Global lithium consumption maintains high growth outlook

World lithium consumption is expected to maintain a high growth

trajectory, due to battery demand for the energy transition alongside the

growth outlook for China’s Li-ion battery manufacturing. In lithium

carbonate equivalent (LCE) terms, global lithium consumption is forecast

to increase from 797 thousand tonnes (kt) to 1,428 kt over the outlook

period (from 2022 to 2025).


Policy support underpins growth in global electric vehicle sales

The outlook for electric vehicle (EV) demand (60% of global lithium

consumption in 2022) remains very favourable due to high policy support

that continues to be directed to the sector, particularly in China. The

resilience of China’s EV sector is underpinned by almost 20 years of

industrial support, through consumer subsidies as well as producer tax

breaks and finance. Notably, China is now the world’s largest automobile

exporter (due to the success of the EV sector), surpassing Japan and

Germany (in terms of first half 2023 exports). 

Resources and Energy Quarterly September 2023 p146

[ATTACH=full]164574[/ATTACH]


Top