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So, from the panel:

  • Supply shortfall to remain.
  • Takes a long time to bring new projects on.
  • Uptake of EVs faster than expected.
  • EVs are actually good, ICE vehicle makers didn't think they were any good.
  • ICE vehicle makers late to the party and trying to catch up.
  • Covid and supply issues raising prices.
  • Labour force missing due to lockouts and Covid.
  • Improved battery technology.
  • Ni and Co expensive, Li was cheaper, more price increases to come.
  • Not sure if new supply will match demand.
  • May constrain new cars coming on.
  • No current replacement for Li for battery tech, but others may be coming.
  • Cost of Li in a battery not the major cost.
  • Current prices not long term contracts but indicates supply demand situation.
  • Toyota spending $70b on EVs by end of 2020s. Double of earlier target of 12 mths ago.
  • Saudis pivoting and looking for supply.
  • Ford doubled sale target for EV pickups - F150.
  • Paradigm shift in US auto market and late to the party.
  • Investment will speed things up but Li deposits not easy to bring into production.
  • Many different types of deposit makes chemical process difficult. Every project different.
  • More funding coming in compared to last run on Li. Traditional banks weren't financing. Now more interested.
  • Demand much greater than possible supply.
  • More Teslas's coming on.
  • General battery storage use to significantly increase.


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