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first off  duties/tariffs hit the US consumers hardest , it encourages slackness in local production and alternate imports , China will simply sell elsewhere  and since it will do direct goods swaps  Russia and Brazil  combined have one and a half times the population  of the US


 and will supply more useful goods than a sanctioning US will do


 China will move to divest it's US and EU assets ( if it hasn't started already  .. the gold-bugs are convinced China is already doing that in a consistent way )


 so where does that leave Japan   ... it will have to drastically improve relations with the Philippines ( some unpleasant memories there  , maybe worse than South Korea's )


 hint  even the Australian aborigines  have unpleasant stories about the Japanese  .. well before WW2 they irritated a LOT  of people  around  the Pacific rim


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