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Most bear cycles are lucky to last months, up to two years. A lot of the talk is that we will see a nasty crash these next few months.  I've been waiting on this one a couple of years. Market exuberance surprised me.


I think there was a lot of froth and a lot of shares overshot to the upside these last few years. Valuations seem out of whack.


In saying the above, once we do get a clear out the market (which is generally under 2 years at its worst), it then moves to a bull. We have had declined for a while now. Should be some good opportunities to pick up some cheap stock. You have to be able to turn your bear thinking on a dime. So don't get caught in the "end of the world" mindset and miss the boat.


I'm expecting depressed real world assets as business collapse and also across various markets. Realistically our government can't let everything drop to much. So there's a limit on interest rates as debt is just ridiculous on things like housing.


I've been dribbling into a couple of commodity plays and will probably pick up some tech soon. Need a lot more froth off though.


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