Normal
[ATTACH=full]133231[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]133241[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]133236[/ATTACH]But you have to remember how these things are weighted in the (fudged) official CPI etc numbers. Think about how much energy is a primary input into even food production and energy has had a massive supply crunch. The good news is that oil wells etc are coming back online (this doesn't take 5 minutes) and just talk of releasing strategic reserves has dumped the oil price and thus everything else dramatically:[ATTACH=full]133233[/ATTACH]You have to remember that prices are pretty sticky/slow to react in this market because you can't just reopen an oil well and ship oil across the planet in five minutes, this is a process that takes weeks. Oil companies also obviously want to know there's going to be a market for their stuff before they ship it so they need some confidence in the oil price before they pull the metaphorical trigger.Point is, this is far more a supply side issue than an interest rate one. Interest rates effect asset prices (p/e), commodity etc prices, not so much.
[ATTACH=full]133231[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]133241[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]133236[/ATTACH]
But you have to remember how these things are weighted in the (fudged) official CPI etc numbers. Think about how much energy is a primary input into even food production and energy has had a massive supply crunch. The good news is that oil wells etc are coming back online (this doesn't take 5 minutes) and just talk of releasing strategic reserves has dumped the oil price and thus everything else dramatically:
[ATTACH=full]133233[/ATTACH]
You have to remember that prices are pretty sticky/slow to react in this market because you can't just reopen an oil well and ship oil across the planet in five minutes, this is a process that takes weeks. Oil companies also obviously want to know there's going to be a market for their stuff before they ship it so they need some confidence in the oil price before they pull the metaphorical trigger.
Point is, this is far more a supply side issue than an interest rate one. Interest rates effect asset prices (p/e), commodity etc prices, not so much.
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