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CFO's are paid to be pessimists. That is what controlling a balance sheet requires. Worst case scenarios like, err, a credit crunch. Centro is what happens when they become optimistic. Why oh why Romano did you not see the CMBS markets closing down? Boo hoo...
Anyway if I was a CFO at the moment, I would be seeing a yawning chasm about to decimate American GDP growth, and my company's profitability with it, for a few years to come. That's why it is called risk management. Will this happen is the question? Maybe ask the CEOs - surely they can be trusted at the bottom.
Just don't go asking an economist or anything silly like that...
]CFO's are paid to be pessimists. That is what controlling a balance sheet requires. Worst case scenarios like, err, a credit crunch. Centro is what happens when they become optimistic. Why oh why Romano did you not see the CMBS markets closing down? Boo hoo...
Anyway if I was a CFO at the moment, I would be seeing a yawning chasm about to decimate American GDP growth, and my company's profitability with it, for a few years to come. That's why it is called risk management. Will this happen is the question? Maybe ask the CEOs - surely they can be trusted at the bottom.
Just don't go asking an economist or anything silly like that...
]
Yeh, they cant be trusted and we are not at the bottom
But we will see
When the going gets tough, banks yelp for nanny
By Jeff Randall
Last Updated: 8:16am GMT 26/03/2008
Bank customer: "What's the difference between a recession and a depression?"
Bank manager: "In a recession, you lose your job. In a depression, I lose mine."
Remarkable, isn't it, just how quickly champions of laissez-faire solutions can become advocates for state intervention. All it takes is for their gravy-train to break down.
When freedom to play with barely any restrictions was making them rich beyond imagination, big-shot financiers applauded "light-touch" regulation. The looser the rules, the louder they cheered.
Now, however, as credit is crunched, losses mount and prospects for lucrative employment come under threat, many titans of unfettered enterprise are suddenly crying out for nanny.
Not for them the tough love of supply and demand. No, sir. These are desperate times, requiring generous measures of tender, loving care.
The essential plumbing of commerce, it is alleged, has become dysfunctional. Or, as Josef Ackerman, chief executive of Deutsche Bank, said: "I no longer believe in the market's self-healing power."
Why ever not? Nowhere on the tin does it say that markets will correct themselves without someone being hurt. Indeed, for markets to function properly, pain, somewhere along the chain, is inevitable.
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Markets work because they create winners and losers, not jobs-for-life security. Financial Darwinism doesn't just underpin the survival of the fittest, it ensures the extinction of pea-brained dinosaurs.........http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/03/26/ccjeff126.xml
Here is a rather excellent article written by Todd Harrison of Minyanville.com regarding the "privatize profits and socialize losses" policy of the current Fed.
Chasing liberty
Commentary: Facing a critical juncture in financial engineering
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...x?guid={22E814E7-51D9-430C-A955-89A3287BD009}
It's an excellent article in that it not only dovetails neatly with the views of the more sober bears on this site, but also it contains rare balance for an article written by an American.
Worth following this chap. IMO
Ones that agree with me.Wayne, your take on a "sober bear" ?
....
The no recession out there call could very well be true . It could be a depression .
*GASP*
Isn't there a world-wide forum BAN on the use of the dreaded "De-Word"??
Double-*GASP*
AJ
Get with the program itha.... it's "slow-down". Depressions and recessions only ever happen in history books. LOLMust be my bad then , I missed that memo
I forgot to ask ...... does anyone else think we'll have a 4800 retest on the ASX200 ?
That'd be the PPT's Psych Ops, right?until the "Talking Heads" get cranking again..
Cheers
..........Kauri
That'd be the PPT's Psych Ops, right?:
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