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How much bank profits can we afford?

Isn't that how the sub-prime evolved........
Sub-prime evolved from the inadequate pricing of risk, nothing more.
It was caused my market inefficiency, not the efficiency of the banking system.


Excellent summary Kremmen, people tend to only focus on the negatives and not the positives of a strong financial sector in Australia. A spike in interbank lending rates decimated the industry in the US, our banks with greater control and greater levels of trust with one another fared much better.
 
Sub-prime evolved from the inadequate pricing of risk, nothing more.
It was caused my market inefficiency, not the efficiency of the banking system.

Understand your point but surely lack of regulation or enforcement had a part arla Ameriquest and others who raped the system.

John Mauldin posted a brief excerpt from Michael Hudson's book called The Monster about the Mortgage industry, and specifically Ameriquest and Lehman.

 
Sub-prime evolved from the inadequate pricing of risk, nothing more.
It was caused by market inefficiency, not the efficiency of the banking system.

Surely the buck stops with the banks as far as the pricing of risk is concerned (they did not have to lend the money).

If the Sub-prime debacle and subsequent Global Financial Crisis was not caused by an inefficient banking system, then who was to blame???
 
Discussion here reminds me of an address by the manager or one of Australias large companies that was delivered at a management seminar. His theory was;
" keep the worker in as much debt as possible and help keep his wife barefooted and pregnant (actual words). That way you will have a workforce that will not be able to miss a days work, that will not want to leave the job and thanking you for letting him have a job. If his debt is over buying a house then he will also be tied to that place and find it hard to shift home".

That was in the early 60s. Now it would probably be "keep both partners working full time to earn sufficient to pay off a mortgage and etc."
 
Understand your point but surely lack of regulation or enforcement had a part arla Ameriquest and others who raped the system.
So what did she do?
 
The buck stops, where ever the buck stops. Banks didn't hold a lot of these mortgages on their balance sheets (well they did, but often not the ones they originated...). Check out http://orgnet.com/cdo.html for a fun way to see how the contagion worked.
 
Understand your point but surely lack of regulation or enforcement had a part arla Ameriquest and others who raped the system.
US Lenders were terrible and more lending regulation would have helped, but it was inadequate pricing of risk in the derivative instruments that led to the shutting down in very quick succession of the securitisation market that halted lending worldwide (and yes, even in countries like Australia where the standard of lending is much higher than the US and in many respects is world-leading).
The complexity and depth of the secondary markets make it basically impossible to regulate (and Greenspan himself concedes this point on occasions in his post-Fed career).
 
An inefficient pricing system, although pre-GFC we did just encounter a once in history shift in global demographics where something like 10% of the entire world's population switched from an agrarian to industrial existance from 02 to 05, which brought with it a greater saving and investment market as people who lived in the developing world and largely lived hand to mouth suddenly had some (albeit meagre) savings to place in deposit.

As people from developing nations have a higher savings ratio than most other people (less likely to accept risk with investment), this precipitated a large scale drop in fixed interest securities which meant traditional bond holders found their yields wilting and chose other investments that produced higher returns, scewing the risk markets. The lower interest rates compared with historical booms exacerbated the situation when the crisis hit.

In any case, the guilty parties were not retail banks, let alone the big Australian banks.
 
Poll in the SMH today;


Probably most of the clowns who responded to this poll don't even have an account with the CBA.
 
It was just a bit unfortunate for CBA that their announcement of large rate rise came when there was no other news, and while the government and the opposition are fighting for who can make the most meaningless noise about interest rate rises.

So we had considerable hysteria for about 36 hours. Late night ABC Radio talkback in the small hours managed to register umpteen idjits who have no clues but think it's sport to engage in some bank bashing.

Then we have the Qantas engine debacle, and all the outrage turns to unsafe servicing of our flagship air fleet.

Then, some more people die as a result of a further eruption of the Indonesian volcano, and whacko, that's taken the place of all the local outrage on interest rates.

Meantime, the other big banks are wisely just pulling their heads in for now and will make their own announcements re rises at a smarter time than did the CBA.
 
Meantime, the other big banks are wisely just pulling their heads in for now and will make their own announcements re rises at a smarter time than did the CBA.

So Wise really means:- sneaky, cowardly, contemptible, deceitful, devious, disingenuous, furtive, guileful, recreant, secretive, shifty, slippery, sly, snide, stealthy, surreptitious, tricky, unscrupulous, untrustworthy and underhanded.
 
So Wise really means:- sneaky, cowardly, contemptible, deceitful, devious, disingenuous, furtive, guileful, recreant, secretive, shifty, slippery, sly, snide, stealthy, surreptitious, tricky, unscrupulous, untrustworthy and underhanded.
Might as well manage the news cycle as long as the great unwashed are emotional and irrational.
 
So Wise really means:- sneaky, cowardly, contemptible, deceitful, devious, disingenuous, furtive, guileful, recreant, secretive, shifty, slippery, sly, snide, stealthy, surreptitious, tricky, unscrupulous, untrustworthy and underhanded.

It depends on the circumstances.
 
So Wise really means:- sneaky, cowardly, contemptible, deceitful, devious, disingenuous, furtive, guileful, recreant, secretive, shifty, slippery, sly, snide, stealthy, surreptitious, tricky, unscrupulous, untrustworthy and underhanded.

You are a wise old whale watcher Macq.
 
So what did she do?

The out come wasn't explored but I think she would have lost the lot


Some thing along the lines of Mofra's comments

 
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