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Gold Price - Where is it heading?

Surprised the Gold bugs haven't put this one up,

AUD gold.



thanks to the manipulators hey?? (that is the RBA of course. )
 
paper taper rock scissors bars

John Hathaway said:
"There's a big short squeeze taking place," he said, adding that paper claims on gold – from futures, derivatives and exchange-traded funds – "are demanding settlement in terms of physical gold."
video:
Gold ‘ridiculously oversold’: Fund manager

John Hathaway said:
"....that people are losing confidence in the traditional intermediaries between the paper and physical markets, and you can see that with the dramatic drawdown in registered Comex warehouse stocks"

:band
 
Surprised the Gold bugs haven't put this one up,

AUD gold.

View attachment 53887

thanks to the manipulators hey?? (that is the RBA of course. )

That's probably because for a gold bug the only points of interest on the charts are 'Turd bottoms'. Thanks to your previous posts we already understand that in between the 'Turd bottoms' any down-trend is natural-price-action and any up-trend is manipulation.
All very simple. Nothing new here.
 
natural-price-action...

Nothing new here.

No it would seem so. It wouldn't matter what I said - it got your back up the day I said that fall was stop related, clearly you are looking for someone to pay for something?? I doubt you will ever consider any discussion about it.
 
No it would seem so. It wouldn't matter what I said - it got your back up the day I said that fall was stop related, clearly you are looking for someone to pay for something?? I doubt you will ever consider any discussion about it.

You are welcome to think what ever you like TH. But try engaging generally in an objective and polite discussion with other members of this forum and you will discover that your doubts are just delusion.
 
You are welcome to think what ever you like TH. But try engaging generally in an objective and polite discussion with other members of this forum and you will discover that your doubts are just delusion.

Care to enlighten us on why those doubts are delusional?
 
Surprised the Gold bugs haven't put this one up,

AUD gold.

thanks to the manipulators hey?? (that is the RBA of course. )

Well the RBA have a lot to answer for, going down the same ZIRP path of currency (un?)competitiveness while making all the savers pay for all the spenders. As for the $US/$AU, I think there is still plenty of downside to go and consequently higher $AU gold prices, even as the $USD becomes more unloved by their previous supporters.

Please will you keep buying our IOU nothing's...............


http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/16/us-usa-economy-capital-idUSBRE97F02T20130816

It's all becoming clearer now, unless Routers and Macquarie (& Bloomberg) have their data wrong as well?


http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/08/19/uk-gold-uk-exports-macquarie-idUKBRE97I0PQ20130819

The liquidity squeeze on the bullion banks continues for now......will it turn into a price squeeze?

http://www.lbma.org.uk/pages/index.cfm?page_id=55&title=gold_forwards&show=2013

"The information in this report is taken from sources believed to be reliable; however, the Commodity Exchange, Inc. disclaims all liability whatsoever with regard to its accuracy or completeness. This report is produced for information purposes only."
 
I was always talking about the leverage in the market not being 100:1. It is nowhere near it.

Would you believe 92 then? Well, sort of?

The Reserve Bank of India ‘Working Group to Study the Issues Related to Gold and Gold Loans by NBFCs in India’


http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/PublicationDraftReports.aspx?ID=694

So I guess people just have to know the difference between traded 'paper' volume and what actually stands for good delivery? Whatever, there are real signs of 'stress' in the physical trying to be 'balanced' from the paper market hence the nice little $20 to $30 pops in the POG....oh to be a fly on the wall at the LBMA......and JPM.....

Why is it going to take 6 years for Germany to get their gold back?

The next leg higher (both nominally & inflation adjusted) for gold via deep money setting up before the QE distorted credit & repo markets get the wobbles?

Leverage from equities this time?
 
Would you believe 92 then? Well, sort of?

Unc!!! Why cannot you guys see where you are being taken for a massive ride with these figures. Futures and ETF instrument, for everything not just your holy PMs, is made for short term speculation. That was always the primary function of futures - in that way they attract volume and price discovery for hedging and forward planing. Have a look at the open interest. If you can spend 5 minutes honestly understanding the figures you will see why you are being taken for a ride with this perpetually repeated myth.
 

I think you are wasting your time T.H.

You will never convince the conspiracy brigade of anything other than what they believe to be true. It's akin to being in a cult... totally brainwashed. They'll be projecting dates for the end of the world next. But, it's an open forum so they are entitled to their beliefs, as funny as they are to most.
 

Maybe, but in real effect the paper does not reflect true product.

A bank recieving a deposit can lend out 900% of it within minutes of reciept. Yes I know, its the way it is but this continued exapansionism is not sustainable and we are hitting the wall in our own time.

In my very humble opinion, as usual.
 

This is nonsensical. Has nothing to do with the leverage of gold or PMs. Its a view that you don't like modern finance but has little to do with the incorrect assertion of gold leverage.
 
This is nonsensical. Has nothing to do with the leverage of gold or PMs. Its a view that you don't like modern finance but has little to do with the incorrect assertion of gold leverage.

So paper gold and physical gold are the same?

And/or are equal in value.

If not, how about coming down off your high throne and giving a straight forward explanation for dummies.

One does get the impression of course T/H, that you do not really want us to know.

On topic: Gold is going up at the moment, confirming a good long term investment for the steady bug.
 

What?
 

"These figures" were from The Reserve Bank of India. The futures market, as you repeatedly assure us, does not lend itself to being 'unbalanced' so they are obviously not talking about it then. Where the data is showing up 'irregularities' is in the unallocated and yes, in the ETF's markets.

I also added this - "So I guess people just have to know the difference between traded 'paper' volume and what actually stands for good delivery?" I guess this is where some are getting confused about the 'leverage' word?

There is a case that physical gold has been bought sight unseen and with only the promise of it's existence in a vault somewhere. What's happening is that this paper gold IOU is turning out to be worthless as the gold has been over-allocated. The exact figure no body knows (except perhaps the Fed & JPM & the other insiders) but it does show up in liquidity data such as GOFO etc. That's how I interpret it all.

So here's some questions for you -

Why will it take Germany 6 years to get their gold back from the US??

Why has the official amount of gold in the US Feds vaults not changed materially since March 2006??
 
So here's some questions for you -

Why will it take Germany 6 years to get their gold back from the US??

Why has the official amount of gold in the US Feds vaults not changed materially since March 2006??

No idea! Sounds like the mother of all squeezes is just a month away.......... again! :

First of all with all gold stories I would want to see the actual source. How close have you got to the info outside of zerohedge?
 
No idea! Sounds like the mother of all squeezes is just a month away.......... again! :

First of all with all gold stories I would want to see the actual source. How close have you got to the info outside of zerohedge?

It's a liquidity squeeze alright - let's see how long they can defend $1400??

Nothing from ZH. The official gold holdings can be found here -

http://www.fms.treas.gov/gold/index.html


Like I said, the total hasn't changed materially since 2006 - 8000t - so how much do they have, if any at all?

As for Germany, it's a well known fact -


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-...iate-674-tons-of-gold-to-germany-by-2020.html

So it's going to take 7 more years to transfer 674t, and 300t from an 420t Fed inventory, but yet it only takes the UK 6 months to ship 798t to Switzerland??


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/876af37c-08dd-11e3-ad07-00144feabdc0.html

So even the most one eyed gold bear would have to admit that the goings on in the gold sphere leave a lot of questions unanswered, and only fuels the bugs even more. Information is power against those that conspire to game the markets?
 
Gold enters a 'new' bull market as the planets align? Looks like $1425 is the new resistance, then $1480 target?

Todays questions -

Which currency doesn't need defending?

Where do unwanted $USD's go?


Chart of the day for the bears.......

 
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