that day of the 94 high the closing price was 88.5....
I also use Wilders Parabolic S&R.
IMO when sp stays above the little dot.....there is a 'break out' from the trading range.
Anyway,please lets stop splitting hairs here......as we're all very happy to see ern off trending up again.
...& with some good drilling news shortly..
Sorry captain on the day just before that 94 high day there was a close of 91c, well thats what i can see on the charts.
So its not quite a closing high.... YET.
But its looking bullish for this stock.
You can play it like that if you like, and I suppose you could call it a short term 'breakout', but when you're playing longer term, like I think you are, don't you need to work off longer time frames to establish trends. IMO, the past few days does not make a 'trend'. Could easily fall over on Monday, but still be in the longer term uptrend base now around 75 ish cents. Short term trading you obviously use shorter time periods, but I don't think we're doing that here.
Kennas,
IMHO your interpretation of the chart action is very conservative and i believe that we may be in the early stage of a very major re-rating. Something similar may occur here as happened at AGY. Central Africa is "very hot" in exploration terms with lots of deals underway at very high prices. ERN is valued at around A$45 million for an extremely attractive u play and IF the first set of drilling results "match" the 30 year old u assays then the buy pressure will turn very bullish. ERN could easily carry a +A$100 million market cap and still look undervalued within its international peer group. They are drilling on targets that have enormous appeal to various u takeover predators and look much "hotter" than recent takeover target OMC (as a nearby example).
Latest presentation is below. This was released to International investors in Zurich on Friday. Its on their website. Good overview of what they have. I think we could see Erongo push through $1 soon. It had very strong buying in Germany on Friday.
http://www.erongoenergy.com.au/files/announcements/Erongo_Energy_Presentation_May2007[F].pdf
Just for those who think $1 seems a bit far. Here is why Erongo could easily hit a dollar today. Directors said drill results would be pending in late May. There are presentations happening in Zurich atm and the price has the equivelant of 97 cents AUD in Germany and they are trending up on the charts. Its threatening a breakout right now. I hope this goes to show everyone that ERN look very likely to break this mark in the up and coming weeks even days with all this activity happening. $1 is only a little jump from current prices..the real goal will be staying above this price level.
This would be great. As a small time investor, I have invested in BMN and ERN mainly and it would be nice to see both trending upward more regularily.
I'm also looking forward to them producing this. I think we're all a bit skeptical of their ability to start drilling and then get some results out so fast while others have overrun by not days or weeks but even months. If they can pull it off, them well done!! They have till Thursday, or cred wanes. I agree with you on momentum with this Chris. Just needs to keep in the uptrend to get to $1. (of course) Risk is to drop through that bottom support line previously posted. Fair way off that atm.The results supposedly to be released in late May (this week) will confirm the historical data............. Looking forward to the confirmation of historical data.
I'm also looking forward to them producing this. I think we're all a bit skeptical of their ability to start drilling and then get some results out so fast while others have overrun by not days or weeks but even months. If they can pull it off, them well done!! They have till Thursday, or cred wanes. I agree with you on momentum with this Chris. Just needs to keep in the uptrend to get to $1. (of course) Risk is to drop through that bottom support line previously posted. Fair way off that atm.
Another good point. It is a very short time frame. Im watching closely. I hope they do have something to announce this week. There can always be hold ups. We will be able to see if Management were getting a little excited with their time frames if we dont get an announcement.
Ern rising slowly but surely.....confirming 'breakout' in my opinion...just hit 95.....maybe the magic dollar by days end & close at 'all time high'.....hey kennas ..I'll try again to be right..but gee I'm sometimes wrong..but very happy with this.no sellers until the $1....yet!
Go Nuke,...dribble all you like coz sp just cracked the dollar ...on over 60,000 @ the dollar...... so going real strong....in fact getting too high for the day....maybe a speeding ticket from the ASX....
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