Craton
Mostly passive, contrarian.
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Egg prices likely to remain high as shortage tipped to last until 2028
Shoppers are being warned that egg shortages could continue for at least another three years.
The ABC is aware of a report commissioned by Australian Eggs flagging an expected shortfall of up to 500 million eggs by 2025 — before the bird flu outbreak further disrupted supply.
On top of already existing demand pressures, 10 per cent of the laying flock has been destroyed in line with biosecurity requirements, due to bird flu outbreaks across eastern Australia last year and a current disease cluster in north-east Victoria.
(my bolds) Eggs have now been in short supply for months as demand has skyrocketed, and Woolworths, Coles and IGA have placed purchasing limits of two cartons in a number of states.
Boyd Carmody from Creswick Open Range Eggs, who runs about 160 birds per hectare, said not all of the proceeds from supermarket price rises were being filtered back to farmers, and consumers should brace for more disease outbreaks disrupting supply.
"I reckon the egg market will be tight up until at least spring 2028," he said.
"We haven't even gotten over the 2024 outbreak. Those farms aren't back in production.
"Some of them are still pushed up into a big pile and will need to be rebuilt — it's a problem that's going to be with us for a while."
The ABC has spoken to multiple industry sources who said that due to the nature of the market and the constant threat of disease outbreaks, low supply until 2028 was a strong possibility.
UPDATE
Partner could not buy eggs anywhere here yesterday. None at Coles, Woolies, IGA. She even tried some of the out-of-the-way corner stores. Zip, zero, nil, nada.
Word on the grape vine is that the restaurants and takeaway food outlets (one in particular) appear to be buying up all available supply.
We're also hearing there's been a run on powdered eggs!
According to a local stock feeder, layers/pullets also not available and if any do come in, they are already pre-sold!
Partner's nephew has been looking for pullets, here's one source on the list. Means a trip away though.
Local FB buy/swap/sell poultry group gets some attention too.
This ABC report from a day ago doesn't help to allay egg supply concerns either.
Reads in part:
So demand has skyrocketed, no doubt due to inflationary pressures especially on other food stuffs thus, those little bum nuts are starting to become worth their weight in gold.
Makes me think, will we start to see a rise in poultry and egg theft?
what crime rate ?But at least the crime rate is rapidly increasing and you're in legal trouble if you discuss the cause of it.
Here in Newcastle the Sunny Queen brand from Qld are $8.80 dzUPDATE
Partner managed to source eggs from Coles yesterday. 700g FYFE Family brand doz. for $9.30
Am assuming for the same weight of 700g?Here in Newcastle the Sunny Queen brand from Qld are $8.80 dz
These are free range with 1500 birds to the Hectare, so a little bit dearer than most brands
poor is relevant ,I'm currently in Laos, one of the world's poorest countries outside of Africa.
Even the people here can freely afford eggs, quail, duck and chicken. They're sold in markets, you see people selling trays of them by the side of the road and out front of non food related shops, and the popular local snack food of omelettes cooked inside their shells are sold abundantly everywhere, all at prices even the very poor here can afford. How fortunate they are not to be in Australia!
I think you mean relative.poor is relevant ,
some can never have enough , while others are have enough any time there is a roof over their head and a half-full stomach
look where regularly filled stomachs have gotten us , also those unhygienic conditions cultivate a robust immunity in the survivors ( without a dependency on BIG Pharma )I think you mean relative.
It's a luxury of the wealthy to have that view. Plenty of people here have to watch their children die for want of a trivial amount of money. Routinely only being able to half fill the stomach does very different things to people from routinely being able to fill it.
Once people have enough money to have a safe place to live, enough food to eat and the essentials covered, it's true that more money doesn't make people *happier* (though wealth relative to your neighbours does), but wealth is still an absolute quantifiable and relevant thing in many ways, directly correlating with life expectancy, education, etc etc.
The typical person here desperately wants to get to a place like Australia and would consider the workload of a typical full time Australian job with the income of a typical dole bludger to be a dream. I know plenty of people from Laos who have move to neighbouring countries for the opportunity of working like literal slaves (14 or so hours of hard work per day and a day off per month if they're lucky, sleeping on the floor at work in terrible conditions etc) for enough money to afford a diet of rice, bamboo and if they're lucky an occasional egg or some bones or something. Things are tough enough in Laos that they choose to live abroad away from family and friends for the privilege of that lifestyle.
Funnily enough though, the people here are much happier than the average person in Australia! This says a lot about how insane Australia has become.
Eggs are relatively stable. A lot of foods produced in this region, such as cashews, are about as expensive here as in Australia putting them completely out of economic reach the vast majority of people here even though they're easily grown locally, because they can be exported easily, so locals have to compete with the foreign market, which they can't. I'm a bit surprised something similar hasn't yet happened with eggs. They're not as easily transported as cashews, but they can be processed, powdered, etc.
Interestingly, the farming practices here are as squallid and unquarantined and unhygienic and crowded as they get anywhere. There are chickens absolute everywhere, from the streets in the middle of the capital city to everywhere you turn in the rural areas. Often when I'm travelling between towns people will have boxes of live chickens with them. Today I saw a random chicken tied up in the motorcycle park outside the main market in this town (I'll include a picture) which was stared at by some of the chickens which were wandering around scavenging through the garbage in the parking area, and there are often chickens walking around scavenging anything you drop when you eat outside pretty much literally anywhere... but there's zero issue with bird flu. Bird flu is an issue which causes commercial flocks to be wiped out resulting in a shortage of eggs and high prices only in Western countries, in multiple isolated parts of the world... sounds totally plausible and believable.
look where regularly filled stomachs have gotten us , also those unhygienic conditions cultivate a robust immunity in the survivors ( without a dependency on BIG Pharma )
think of the chickens as the council sanitation department ( better chickens than rodents in my opinion )
you are watching nature at it's very best coping with problems as it encounters them
BTW on this farm , i have noticed new ant species up here ( in competition or parallel to the farm hens )
remember New York is becoming the new third-world economy
humans ( when allowed to be ) are an extremely adaptable creature , we are capable of living in inhospitable areas , whether we create a shelter or eliminate hostile wildlife or discover and cultivate suitable food sources
and by the way the rodents are fairly good at avoiding hostile humans over here and there isn't that many other predators of them either , i bet there are way more than we imagine
212,268 Pounds Of Egg Products Potentially Containing Bleach Recalled
212,268 Pounds Of Egg Products Potentially Containing Bleach Recalled | ZeroHedge
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