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@peter2@Miner Wishing you and your family and friends a safe and happy holiday season. I'm pleased to reply to your questions.
(1) Support level at 0.65. A price level is important if a swing high or swing low (pivot point high/low) forms at a level at least twice. On the weekly/monthly chart of DCG, price made a low at 0.655 (April/16), then again at Dec18. This defines an important level and we call it support because it's below price and price bounced off it twice so far. Last Friday price traded at/below 0.655 once more and closed above. Will longer term investors (instos) buy again at this level? As it happened no because DCG released an update outlining further concerns.
A chart support level is merely a line on a chart that indicates prior support. It didn't stop price falling further today. I never presume that a chart line will hold price, but I am interested to see what happens at that price level.
(2) The root cause for the loss is that not enough people bought DCG after I did. The demand that I saw in the chart, disappeared. Supply offset demand and so price traded sideways on low volume for many months until the recent news.
I sold one day later than I should have, so I'm not happy about that.
(3) Additional supply hit the market today and forced prices well below the support line. Prior support now becomes resistance as there's bound to be lots of unhappy holders that will sell if price gets near 0.65 in the future.
(4) Now that I'm out. I can reassess the situation with a clearer head. Has this gone down too far? I'm unable to form an opinion on this as it's outside my area of expertise. I won't know until I see what happens next. I thought the Sunraysia Solar delay was inconvenient but hardly worth the selloff. However the additional concerns imply that management are not in control of multiple projects. I believe that margins are very thin in the engineering/construction business so it doesn't take much for a project to become a problem.
I did notice that two directors bought shares yesterday. They can buy more now at a lower price.
Excellent and many thanks Pete.DCG appeared in this arvo's 1st BB scan and I thought hmm... that's interesting. This is not a reversal setup for me yet as I'd like to see another dip that doesn't make a new low.
The recent notices are informing the market of those that sold off some of their holdings after the recent poor news. I'd call it capitulation volume as a few insto's sold. The reduction in holdings of these insto's was approx 1% so they haven't bailed yet. Interestingly I noticed that TOP (Thorney) added to their position on the big down day.
No more updates from the management after their last brief that mentioned another delayed project (NZ prison), a write down of an asset and the departure of the CFO.
View attachment 99508
I gather market will responding to a steroid AKA new CEO when opens on 25 May.DCG has requested two consecutive trading halts (2 x 2 days) to confirm a capital raising.
They've also announced a new CEO. Shares will resume trading on Mon 25th May, 2020.
With an order book it wants to see through, and plenty of promises about restructuring initiatives, the company and its broker Hartleys asked for a fresh start on Tuesday and will ramp up the pitch on Wednesday. Decmil wants $40 million. It wants existing investors to pile into the rights issue and those same investors - with the help of some of its former supporters - to head into the placement.
While the deal had not priced as of Tuesday night, fundies said they were asked to mull about 10¢ a share, which would be a 50 per cent discount to the last close. In reality, fundies reckon the discount may end up even wider. A bookbuild is scheduled for later this week. Anything at or above 50 per cent would be a big discount - but indicative of Decmil's situation, and not far off what [other distressed companies] had to do to secure their own lifelines.
The raising came as Decmil has been fighting for survival. It secured some relief from its bankers and surety bond providers earlier this month, and flagged that it was exploring "a range of capital options" to recapitalise the balance sheet. It's also looking to sell its Homeground Gladstone accommodation village in Queensland.
I am not sure it can survive. Its close to folding I think, one significant finding against them in any of the many disputes would probably be the straw that breaks the camel's back.
reversal watch list? Are you backing out? Rear mirror investing?It's in my reversal watch list.
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