- Joined
- 3 February 2010
- Posts
- 1
- Reactions
- 0
Have a daytrade running so thought Id share it for those interested.
2nd by triggered as I type.
Second trade stop $23.39
This is WBC 10 min chart Tradeguider software.
no offence but you were taking a low probability trade imo .
Certainly turned out that way.
They always look low probability when they fail to go on with it and higher probability when they do.
Next.
Now you know thats not right tech , probability is defined before entry and not after , but hey whatever makes you feel better .
Proabibility doesnt preclude the possible from happening , just manage the possibilities
probability is defined before open and not after
If then you are defining a probability to a move then you are predicting a move.
I dont believe you can predict a move with any certainty.
As such I cant see how you can define a probability level(High,low,average) to a set of analysis results. Particularly in various timeframes as they may and do often conflict.
You can however place yourself in anticipation of a move in a direction.
Those who believe they can assign a high probability (greater than 50%) to a setup move or level over a period of time in prediction of a move in a direction with greater than 50% accuracy over a long period of time--years are deluded.
I'm yet to see how this can be calculated on analysis as there are endless variables.
But I'm sure some of our more learned friends here will show me how they do it!
Havent seen it yet and Ive been watching you anticipate moves for years Frank!
The only time Ive seen a prediction confirmed or un confirmed is after a time period.
Ive never seen a probability assigned to an anticipation before.
Semantics---I dont think so there is a clear difference.
I cant talk for frank but i must be deluded then . i aim for and achieve a better than 50% success rate on trades , must be pure luck as probability has nothing to do with it . you just keep trading breakouts with no regard for previous and current energy levels (action/reaction) on various time frames and i will just muddle along
trade well
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?