tech/a
No Ordinary Duck
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- 14 October 2004
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Not sure exactly where you're going with this Tech/A...? Are you saying that professional traders don't review thier trades to try and improve? They just "know" how to trade? So they've always known how to trade?
Perhaps you could expand a little?
CanOz
Still taking in what you posted TH....thanks for taking the time to post that.
What you can do is after the sim phase (which you have done) is start very small so at least the $ outcome will not hurt you. Then its a matter of concentrating on taking the 2-3 setups and exits you think work(from simming) over and over until you have proven to yourself YOU ARE PROFITABLE. Magic, all of a sudden mild nerves are just a small part of the game. Nerves are a symptoms not a cause. By all means manage them but to rid yourself of them you must cure the cause - 3 months of profitable trading (or even just near breakeven) will do it. Trust me.
There are two many trades in my result that shouldn't be there and need to be weeded out too.
I like these loser threads because they get the closest to the right approach.
Risk by its very definition is being exposed to a possible negative outcome.
You can’t be successful if you don’t take on risk.
You can only do two things to control risk.
1) Take risk on when it’s priced favourably. (according to your strategy)
2) Managing the negative outcomes.
Do these two things and you will have a positive expectancy - All that remains is to be exposed to risk for long enough for any negative randomness to be overcome by your expectancy and you have a plan to win.
Lots of people talk about an edge but I suspect some don’t actually understand what it is – Its whatever address 1) above. Generally there’s not much to do with an edge after you have worked yours out except, scan/wait until your criteria is met, and then take a position.
After nailing down 1) The real work of being in the market is 2) managing negative outcomes (the positive takes care of itself) and that means being immersed in your mistakes. I know personally that I spend so much time concentrating on managing negative outcomes that it generally comes some what as a shock when the big picture is tallied up – all of which that leads me to the clip below which sums it all up for me.
You can only do two things to control risk.
1) Take risk on when it’s priced favourably. (according to your strategy)
2) Managing the negative outcomes.
Do these two things and you will have a positive expectancy - All that remains is to be exposed to risk for long enough for any negative randomness to be overcome by your expectancy and you have a plan to win.
I don't know about everyone else
But I place a stop at as fast as I can
B/E (Mentally) if trading the FTSE/DAX then concentrate on getting the most out of that trade.
If stopped at B/E or small slippage I'm not fussed.
Similar when Portfolio trading.
Once I have a fixed B/E stop its just a matter of catching as much of the move as you can.
I look for momentum and get on.
Get off when it hiccups.
the reason i'm trying to perfect this, is that after i build a little cushion, say one or two 4 car full stops, then i can take a nice leisurely swing trade....
CanOz
Something to maybe revisit after a month or a bad patch as you clearly have a plan but,
Is this approach not arsed about and in fact dealing with your head rather than the current market? My preference is to always start to trade the market not my P& L.
If I dig a huge hole (often!) or the market is unlikely to be going anywhere then I take little bites but if I start overly worrying about the next 3 trades and take little scalps to charm the doubts I tend to trade what I want rather than whats on offer. Normally taking a little trade getting a winner and then being left with no position stepping in front of momentum........ all day!
Absolutely, this is something that I've been mulling over today, fine to scalp if that's all there is, but if the stops runs etc., are running on to the next solid level then i have to adapt to that or i'm leaving too much on the table, trade after trade.
- 'traded the data like a moron today. I had no PLAN and was effectively clicking buttons'
I had no PLAN and was effectively clicking buttons'
+1.......... I think that while a detailed trade review process seems a good idea.If something takes too much time and effort yet it doesn't show obvious and direct benefits, it's easy to quickly lose interest in doing it.
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