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CY2025 XAO Prediction competition

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To do, be done and die slowly but happily ?
 
UserChosen XAO #Band LowerBand Upper
Sean K500050005033
Knobby22760076007633
houtman767076677699
basilio777777677799
3 SLOTS?78007899
Ferret792079007933
5 SLOTS?79348099
Umike812581008133
1 SLOT?81348166
wayneL8178.7481678199
10 SLOTS?82008533
farmerge855085348566
4 SLOTS?85678699
Smurf872687008733
IggyPop876087348766
peter2877787678799
macca888888678899
1 SLOT?89008933
Faramir894589348966
1 SLOT?89678999
qldfrog900090009033
frugal.rock905090349066
Dona Ferentes909390679099
TimeISmoney913391009133
Logique2914091349166
1 SLOT?91679199
rcw1920092009233
CRAP?
LOADS?923410933
OF SLOTS?
Garpal Gumnut109461093410966
divs4ever125001250012533
AVERAGE8713

Update adding basilio.

Quite a few strategic slots left available.

Being a public holiday, will leave it open until midnight or so for any last minuters wanting a go.
 
i am thinking the market will go as crazy as a loon , in one direction or another

it seems mathematics no longer count to some investors , it is everybody in the lift ( and hope the cable doesn't break )

but maybe there are some cashed-up investors waiting to buy at sensible prices ( for sensible companies ) to give the XAO some sort of safety net
 
I think many think that if the market starts crashing Trump will act to stop it by any means at his disposal.
He could use government money to buy stocks, and force interest rates down (once he has Fed control).
He may not want to in his first year though which is why my prediction is lower.

"Prediction is difficult especially when dealing with the future"- Neil Bohr / Yogi Berra
 
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In normal situation, i would expect a flight upward
But considering what happened to debt level and Fed/treasury nasty trick should i say treasonous play just before the handover, it could be possible that some serious powers trigger an economic shock against Trump.
Creating a diversion, gaining a few more billions in laundering, a few more contracts etc etc plus a few in the know shorts
 
well in 2020 winners were definitely picked ( lifelines given to some ) this was strongly suspected in the GFC but is 2020 no subtlety was bothered with

the banking system since has been on rolling life-support in some places

can Trump control the Fed ( or even disband it ) well they are a consortium of bankers , it won't be easy to tame them , he may have to disband them ... BUT who then buys all that Government debt , even if Trump cut the spending in half , that is still a whole lot of new debt created

Trump in the earlier term suggested negative rates was a good idea , as an investor i won't touch anything that pays less than 5% ( at MY buying price ) , and i bet i am not singing solo on that

the previous lot made several extraordinary decisions , and Trump has a reputation as a maverick and several norms have already been shattered , goodness knows how the issues will be handled

( we could be buying/selling stuff in millionths of a bitcoin by then )
 
I mused over similar thoughts also.
There's a heck of a lot of vindictive voters out there intent on dishing out retribution.
I'm reminded of the saying;
"Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned".
 
Its closing time ....And, Not able to tempt some of the "Professors of General Chat" to engage, I see.
 
So far in Jan 2025, the All Ords is +2.3%. ..In one month.
At the end of the year, Garpal and divs4ever can raffle it.

Stock indexes are going one way, and to accelerate this progress, in May 2025, we'll punt the Marrickville spiv,
and his little renewables mate.
 
i am thinking crazy optimism ( FOMO ) OR massive rescue packages ( to save the market darlings )

IF i am absolutely wrong .. then i go shopping for bargains ( i would rather have the bargains than the trophy )
 
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