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CY2025 XAO Prediction competition

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wayneL said:
Once again I pull out my crystal ball for a bit of soothsaying. I think a major correction followed by a recovery later in the year, the ASX to underperform compared to America.

I say 8178.74 "plucked straight out of my @55"
Click to expand...
We agree in an opposite way.
I think the run will continue for a while and a mid year slump will ensure. ASX much less volatile than US

8125 (8g1/8)

Aussie dollar to drop and SE Asia to pick up on Trade issues as an alternative to China.
(I am gonna be a busy Boy)
 
Updated with Ferret & UMike.


UserChosen XAO #Band LowerBand Upper
Sean K500050005033
Knobby22760076007633
Ferret792079007933
Umike812581008133
wayneL8178.7481678199
farmerge855085348566
Smurf872687008733
peter2877787678799
macca888888678899
Faramir894589348966
qldfrog900090009033
frugal.rock905090349066
Dona Ferentes909390679099
TimeISmoney913391009133
Garpal Gumnut109461093410966
divs4ever125001250012533
MEDIAN 8832.5
 
Update. rcw1 added.
Some clown forgot that median is just the middle one or middles average...


UserChosen XAO #Band LowerBand Upper
Sean K500050005033
Knobby22760076007633
Ferret792079007933
Umike812581008133
wayneL8178.7481678199
farmerge855085348566
Smurf872687008733
peter2877787678799
macca888888678899
Faramir894589348966
qldfrog900090009033
frugal.rock905090349066
Dona Ferentes909390679099
TimeISmoney913391009133
rcw1920092009233
Garpal Gumnut109461093410966
divs4ever125001250012533
AVERAGE 8802
 
Last edited:
Update with Logique2 added, with thanks for entering.

UserChosen XAO #Band LowerBand Upper
Sean K500050005033
Knobby22760076007633
Ferret792079007933
Umike812581008133
wayneL8178.7481678199
farmerge855085348566
Smurf872687008733
peter2877787678799
macca888888678899
Faramir894589348966
qldfrog900090009033
frugal.rock905090349066
Dona Ferentes909390679099
TimeISmoney913391009133
Logique2914091349166
rcw1920092009233
Garpal Gumnut109461093410966
divs4ever125001250012533
AVERAGE8820.7
 
Update adding houtman & Iggy.

UserChosen XAO #Band LowerBand Upper
Sean K500050005033
Knobby22760076007633
houtman767076677700
Ferret792079007933
Umike812581008133
wayneL8178.7481678199
farmerge855085348566
Smurf872687008733
IggyPop876087348766
peter2877787678799
macca888888678899
Faramir894589348966
qldfrog900090009033
frugal.rock905090349066
Dona Ferentes909390679099
TimeISmoney913391009133
Logique2914091349166
rcw1920092009233
Garpal Gumnut109461093410966
divs4ever125001250012533
AVERAGE8760
 
Logique2 said:
Some harbingers of doom this year..

Balanced by the vaulting optimism of Garpal and divs4ever
Click to expand...
actually i think my prediction ( if correct ) would be a real harbinger of doom but for 2026 , it would signal widespread extravagant valuations just waiting for a reality check

surely earnings will NOT grow 68% this year across a wide range of stocks ( i expect them to shrink a little . but TINA and super contributions to push the market higher anyway )
 
There will be a boom in commodities this year as well as btc and gold. The ASX will finish as I predict at 10946.

I’ll go to cash $USD which will have been driven down against the $Aussie by the Donald.

All that remains then is for me to be kidnapped by 20 or 30 girls aged 20-23 from a Texan Weathergirl School and I’ll be happy.

gg
 
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