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CXL - Calix Limited

missed this ... AFR 03 Aug.

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Labor’s carbon policy spurred ‘lots of interest’ for this tech company

Peter Ker
Resources reporter03 Aug, 2023



 
if I was a young investor, I reckon CXL would be a real contender for Bottom drawer stock in the 21st Century.

From The interview:




A kiln is a great thing to continue to innovate on because just about everything around us that is produced needs heating up when being made, so the opportunities we see are just enormous...

... and that heat should come from electricity, preferably sourced renewably.
 
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AFR 19-20 Aug 2023



Doubt there'll be more money coming for carbon capture tech from the Gov't. This tech will have to be great to make it through.
 
AFR 19-20 Aug 2023

View attachment 161191

Doubt there'll be more money coming for carbon capture tech from the Gov't. This tech will have to be great to make it through.
Moving forward CCUS is - has to be a massive industry, just take direct capture for example, once captured gas has to be stored somewhere, so we are moving from CCUS being the industry go to (do nothing) solution to the more practical, the gas has to go somewhere.
 
now 2.91 ... and SP dropping away
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BUT…we need to mitigate 1.4 billion tonnes per annum of process CO2 emissions
= up to 3,000 Leilac-3s
~2 built every week from now until 2050!!
CXL need to get a move on, or else they'll need to build 1 a DAY.
...
cash at end FY was $75M, but they must be upping the spend. The company is taking on new people, who from profiles seem young and idealistic ... If purpose and results aren't realised, the talent could drift away.
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"In FY23 Calix continued its planned investment in:
1. People, including 32 new engineers, 5 new R&D, and 8 new production;
2. Plant & equipment to enhance and accelerate technology development; and
3. Professional services to advance commercialisation
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The narrative is getting tiresome to the masses, enthusiasm is waning.
Endless blue sky announcements by clean tech companies and very few goal scored, it is all starting to resemble a potash miner IMO.

IDH
 
The narrative is getting tiresome to the masses, enthusiasm is waning.
Endless blue sky announcements by clean tech companies and very few goal scored, it is all starting to resemble a potash miner IMO.

IDH
Yes, similar to Redflow and NMT, great ideas and it would be great to see them all succeed but gee, it’s a hard row to hoe.

I’ll continue to watch them all, if any of them get traction there should be opportunities to get in at a reasonable price.
 
Yes, similar to RFX and NMT, great ideas and it would be great to see them all succeed but gee, it’s a hard row to hoe.
I’ll continue to watch them all, if any of them get traction there should be opportunities to get in ...
.. there are myriad competing technologies out there, some developmental and some shovel ready, but getting to next stage is hard.
  • free capital no longer available.
  • costs also rising quickly
  • end users don't want a dud, or buy something that is suboptimal.
So the whole risk reward calc is tilting further away from EASY to Challenging
 
Heirloom has signed a deal...was $2.82
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Leilac and Heirloom sign global licence and collaboration agreements for Direct Air Capture
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Highlights
● Leilac, a Calix subsidiary, has signed a binding and perpetual global licence agreement for the use of its technology by Heirloom for carbon dioxide removal by DAC.
● The agreement specifies Leilac and Heirloom will work together exclusively for DAC applications and that the Leilac technology will be used at all future Heirloom DAC facilities, subject to conditions and both parties achieving agreed milestones.
● Under the terms of the agreement, Leilac will receive a royalty based on the value of the CO2 captured with the technology. The royalty uses Leilac’s standard licensing model with rates specific to the DAC application.
● The royalty will have a floor price set at the greater of US$3/tonne of CO2 separated in a Leilac kiln, or 3.5% of the prevailing CO2 price for lime decarbonisation. A variable royalty rate, based on the prevailing CO2 price or value less the amortised cost of capital of the Leilac kiln per tonne of CO2 separated, will apply when above the floor price.
● In addition, a collaboration agreement has been executed which includes a US$3m contribution by Heirloom towards mutually agreed upon DAC and lime-related research and development activities.
● Leilac will retain all intellectual property relevant to its technology.
● Heirloom, whose investors include Bill Gates-backed Breakthrough Energy Ventures, use lime as a low-cost solution to directly capture CO2 from the atmosphere.
● Heirloom has signed a long-term contract with Microsoft for the purchase of up to 315,000 metric tons of CO2 removal over a multi-year period, in one of the largest carbon dioxide removal deals to-date.
● Heirloom is a partner in Project Cypress, one of two projects notified for selection by the US Department of Energy for up to US$1.2b provided through the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law’s Regional DAC Hubs program.
● Carbon dioxide removal in the order of 1-10 billion tonnes per annum is expected to be needed to limit or return global warming to 1.5 °C, as committed to in the Paris Agreement.
 
Heirloom has signed a deal.
Looking deeper.

The bigger news is that Heirloom and Microsoft have signed a deal for up to 315,000 metric tons of CO2 removal, this deal also opens up 600M in US federal funding, it appears that the success of Heirloom is dependent on Calix technology...thats a big deal.

 
have been aware of that ... so why the selloff?
 
Anyone who bought and held over the last 20 months is underwater and some of those starry eyed investors are moving on - cost of living and all that??? perhaps insiders?? perhaps just general sentiment? lots of stocks looking cheap.
When money gets tight companies that are only surving on Govt subsidies, get the heave ho, no one wants to tip good money after bad, into capital raisings.
 
Revisiting charts of some I have previously held to see if there is any live ones. You have to wonder about this one, so much hype, so much promise. Doesn't look real good when the chart is only price movement and disregards time.

 
so , sellers have barely missed a beat over the last 7 weeks. An absence of news doesn't help matters.
dropped 10 per cent today, getting back to where it started its run in 2021.

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if the 'forward facing' sector is getting dumped, then no one is going to attach bells and whistles to feel even better.
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Also, saw some spruik that CXL would be a beneficiary if long term rates fell. But if they don't?
 
so , sellers have barely missed a beat over the last 7 weeks. An absence of news doesn't help matters.
and bad news here (can't be good) $2.34
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Leilac-2 project will move to another Heidelberg Materials’ site following a decision by Heidelberg Materials to end clinker production at its Hanover cement plant.

In a 26 January 2024 press release, Heidelberg Materials’ attributes the decision to shut down clinker production in Hanover to a “substantial decline in cement sales following weak construction demand in Germany due to the current economic environment as well as a stronger alignment of the company’s cement portfolio towards low-carbon products, leading to the production of cement with reduced clinker content.”

The release also states: “The site’s research project LEILAC 2 (Low Emissions Intensity Lime And Cement), which is subsidised by the European Union and planned in cooperation with partner companies for implementation by the end of 2025, shall be carried out at another site of Heidelberg Materials.”
 
Carbon capture and ESG initiatives look like they're too expensive. CXL is waterfalling lower (now 1.825).
 
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