Hi Oldblue,
Yer SPC have really played a smart game to date, the volume is still going through and i can only assume its them picking them up. The pattern is exactly the same so i am just waiting for the next announcement saying they have further increased their holding.
How many more of these announcements is it going to take before the market twigs, i reckon thats one of the million dollars questions?
It cant be too long.................
However, if you hold on until the market does catch on, you surely would think that there is some upside here.
I'm still baffled that they have been able to soak up such large volumes, we have recently had several days of around a million volume again. The supply must be going to dry up sooner or later.
Todd - another of the million dollar questions.
I don't see them selling out cheaply to SPC. My guess is that they are in for the long haul and both companies will own sizable chunks. We will have the rest!!!
SPC certainly has the money but with Maari only just around the corner (it's 2008 now) surely they wouldn't sell at these prices. They bought at 22.5 (i think it was) so you would think they would be expecting a decent gain on this before they considered selling. Saying that, everyone has a price!
Also Richard G. Tweedie (Chairman, Cue) is the Managing Director of Todd Energy Limited of New Zealand. So Tweedie has a vested interest that Todd profits from Cue, can't imagine him selling out cheaply.
What i reckon he might do is sell a stake of his 22% to SPC?
However, i dont think he will want to give SPC a controlling interest or he will screw himself.
Todd has a 16% interest in Maari and i dont think they would dilute Cue's interest here either?
What ever happens, i see it as being all good for us. Lets hope there is a bit of Biffo and Hustle for control of the business.
Time will tell and we cant be far away from ROUND 1 - looking forward to it!!!
I have waited patiently for a year now, one more year to go, this one should be an interesting one if nothing else.
Look forward to having you around, the room is filling.
JW