Sadly currently 116 sellers for 14,586,736 units and 77 buyers for 12,426,333 units.
The price just kept dropping from the manipulative pre SPP high 7.7 cents to currently 3.8 cents.
With new SPP shares allocated today, the S/P tumbled to 0.033. Would it hit the SPP price of $0.032?
Currently : 81 buyers for 22,360,746 units, 142 sellers for 24,862,761 units.
As mentioned in my post a few months ago, I visited the Eyre Peninsula last week, and CSS CEO was kind enough to give me and my wife 10 minutes of his time.
My take on their plan is that CSS has 660,000 kingfish fingerlings in sea pens now. Expected mortality is 15%, thus they expect to harvest 560,000 fish in 2015 at an average weight of 2 - 4 kg, say 3 kg. Thus a little over 1500 tonnes of fish.
Their NP is just under $15 per kg on current Sydney sushimi fish market prices of around $40 per kg.
This translates to a NP in 2015 of $20 - 22M.
At a PE ratio of 8, this could value the company at $160M - $176M.
Divide that future value by the number of shares on issue, and you can calculate the future value of CSS shares in 1 - 2 years.
Fish mortality is less than expected at present. Risks are weather/water temperature, and algal bloom (last algal bloom was advised to be in 1997). An algal bloom could result in almost 100% mortality.
I've come away from the interview comfortable that CSS sahares represent a reasonable risk/reward investment.
I'm long on CSS.
At a Billion shares, call it 15cps by 2015. That would bring us back to price levels seen 2 years ago.Divide that future value by the number of shares on issue, and you can calculate the future value of CSS shares in 1 - 2 years.
Again many thanks for this valuable information. I hope you do not mind me posting your reply here.
I Don't think your calcs are correct - NP more like $3 per kg
Up 26% this week.
I came across this kingfish farm for sale near CSS hatchery
"Southern Star Aquaculture Pty Ltd (SSA Pty Ltd) is an aquaculture company that has
been raising yellowtail kingfish (YTK) in the clean waters of Fitzgerald Bay, near
Whyalla, South Australia and has been doing this for the last 10 years. It is a family
owned business embracing many years of marine scale fishing and agricultural farming.
The company was formed in February, 2001 with 20 hectares and a quota of 300
tonnes per annum. In 2004, SSA applied for and was granted an additional 30 hectares
with a tonnage of 450 tonnes per annum. That then gave SSA a total of 750 tonnes in
Western Fitzgerald Bay. In the last harvest Southern Star Aquaculture put in during
November 2010 and January 2011, 86,000 fingerlings. This compared to 2001 of
18,000 fingerlings giving and increase in production of in excess of 200% for Southern
Star Aquaculture Pty Ltd over 11 years."
All for just $250K
or just 33c per kg of potential kingfish
Seems quite cheap
Hi nizora,
It is a worry.
What happened to the King fish market? Over supply? Price crash
Perhaps it is just a slim profit margin.
You touched on it earlier this page
Business is easy at a sale price of $40 / KG with costs of $10 / kg
It rarely stays that good
.
Found this :
"FishFingers:
SSA was a poorly run company, a bit like Cleanseas of yesteryear. Infastructure was poor and fish husbandry knowledge of YTK was limited. SSA infact got there Yellowtail Kingfish fingerlings from Cleanseas at around 10 grams. The BHP steelworks and EPA around Whyalla is also questionable to the quality of the waters around the area, obviously raised eyebrows at Cleanseas when they moved all of their fish out of the area and down south to Pt Lincoln 3 years ago."
Hi pixel,
I am a newbee on technical analysis.
the blue arrows do predict an upward trend in volume and price.
When did the arrow first appear for you.
on the date of the arrow or did the software need a few more days of data and then placed the arrow in hindsight a few days earlier?
I hope i have asked the question correctly. cheers
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