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Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) outbreak discussion

Will the "Corona Virus" turn into a worldwide epidemic or fizzle out?

  • Yes

    Votes: 37 49.3%

  • No

    Votes: 9 12.0%

  • Bigger than SARS, but not worldwide epidemic (Black Death/bubonic plague)

    Votes: 25 33.3%

  • Undecided

    Votes: 4 5.3%
  • Total voters
    75
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orr said:
You still speaking to that 'former work colleage' DB?
Click to expand...

Just messaged him. He sees no change in Sweden where he is (Malmo), but his friend who works at the hospital says more people are coming in with Covid-19. The death rate seems to have not changed that much, but the latest was 9, so it could be a new trend (upwards), or just a spike.



 
Perhaps the relevant information re COVID in Sweden is the number of infections. Deaths are a lagging indicator and in any case do not reflect the full impact of the illness.



Sweden COVID - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer

Sweden Coronavirus update with statistics and graphs: total and new cases, deaths per day, mortality and recovery rates, current active cases, recoveries, trends and timeline.
www.worldometers.info
 
bellenuit said:
I presume it could still be above board? It was too late to get a replacement candidate and the electorate still preferred him to his opponents. I presume they will just run another ballot once the seat is officially vacated through death?
Click to expand...
Yes, he was on the ticket and still got voted in. I am sure there is a constitutional way of dealing with it. Just found it amusing.
 
One of the more worrying facts which has been published this week has been the spread of Covid-19 in to an animal population in Denmark - Mink.

The correct procedure has been followed in culling them. However this may be the tip of the iceberg with the virus entering animal populations, mutating and then re-infecting humans with more virulence.

gg
 

Certainly creating concern about the virus getting out of control.
Excellent analysis on the problem in Denmark.
As a side point check out the explosion in COVID cases in Denmark in the last few weeks.

Mink and coronavirus: what's happened and should we be worried?

Sars-CoV-2 has jumped from humans, mutated and crossed back to cause new infections
www.theguardian.com
 
When first hand observations are at variance to publicised statistics, I generally consider it wiser to doubt the published data, lest I find myself enlisted in a certain useful army.
 
I don't see how COVID-19 can now be stopped any other way than via a vaccine. Globally, we are now hitting 600,000 new COVID-19 cases a day. How is it possible to contain that sort of spread?

Until a vaccine that works is found, I think COVID-19 will continue to rip through the world's population unimpeded and I expect that we will see one million daily new cases globally by Christmas.

As the Northern Hemisphere heads into winter, I don't think it's unreasonable to expect that the death rate will spike even further.

The worst is far from over. We could, in reality, be right at the beginning of this large scale human and economic disaster. I don't think it's out of the question to expect 50 million to 100 million deaths in the next 12 to 18 months if an effective vaccine can't be developed in time to stop the continuing spread of this virus.
 
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