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Climate change another name for Weather

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Tsk Tsk so nasty... and on Christmas morning as well.

The ghost of Christmas past hasn't dropped in has he?
 
Part B of your argument could, indeed does, completely destroy your argument in Part A.
You are very quick to reproduce the straw man argument in your defence.

You think you have a case and suggest:
Clearly you believe you have a grasp of the science; but your statement as quoted clearly shows that you don't, and have difficulty grasping the difference between modeling and real world observation.
Whereas, climate models attempt to replicate the known past (real world observations as you call them) and model the key drivers of change based on scientific principles.

Let's go back to the chlorofluorocarbon debate to demonstrate a difference.
Although the science of ozone depletion was understood by 1974, scientists had to develop deductive models to predict likely consequences. Early models were fraught with massive variations of outcome, and were easy to debunk on those grounds alone. This did not mean the original "science" was junk, but that the scientific process was running its course concurrent with "objections" from skeptics with powerful vested interests (Dupont in the main).

Climate models are principally inductive: We can use well established "laws" to establish the inputs, and we know a lot about most interrelationships so that we can replicate known outcomes. The world is not perfect, so nor will be models. A range of factors will be constantly variable, and these are the areas where doubt will exist.

From a lay perspective the skeptics are able to suggest that the compounding effects of (what they would suggest are) arbitrary variables in the models makes them totally unreliable. But in the case of climate models the ultimate arbiter of "temperature" will always be radiative forcing, not the variability of interrelationships.
 
It seems all very unfair, we are down to only one member of the church of climetology. The rest must be out whale watching, or tree hugging

You are right...only one man standing, the dependable Red Rob. However, I don't think he is as really committed to the cause as his fellow disciples. It is just that he is quarrelsome by nature and loves an argument.

I think that if it had been the conservatives who were pushing the GW barrow Red Rob would oppose it and probably use similar unintelligible arguments. Well, maybe they are not unintelligible but that "I am incapable of understanding" or I am "so poorly educated," or I "need a crash course on the 'science'"

In other words I (and you too probably) haven't been suitably indoctrinated.
 
Redrob, if you think that CO2 is a problem could you outline a solution?
Wayne has outlined courses of action we could all follow, an Smurf has added his 2 cents regularly (I think we have a dollar from him already in this thread).
Wayne and Smurf and I might disagree on some things, but I suspect they realise that only fundamental changes at an individual level will ultimately drive global changes.
Your dilemma may be that in not accepting that CO2 is an issue (and it then turns out to be), you take no action at all.
 
Crudely, every fart counts, as Garpal is only too aware.
"poisoned by their petards maybe?" (French for fart is almost identical)

Some post back there challenged people who wish to take the cautious route on this matter to sell them their shoreside properties.


Already there have been cases in Aus, where the courts have ruled against developments.

http://www.domain.com.au/Public/Art...e=Coastal development all at sea over climate

Vic Govt clarified their policy on this 2 weeks ago (12 dec 08) :-

Victorian Coastal Strategy apparently assumes 0.8m rise by 2100.
http://www.vcc.vic.gov.au/2008vcs/VCS2008_FAQs.pdf

(part of this website - go to FAQ's)
http://www.vcc.vic.gov.au/vcs.htm

Hey, I have no idea how much it will rise - but sounds like the Law believes it will rise. - and significantly.

btw, those who wish to challenge "money where mouth" etc scoff etc.

Why not put YOUR money where your mouth is ? - buy a big gasguzzling hummer - see what resale value you'll have in 10 years

http://www.dailytech.com/article.aspx?newsid=12460

This is the direction the innovative people are moving in. (correction - trying to move in).
The progressives.
Those not in denial.
 

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You blokes ever heard of Lloyds?

http://www.domain.com.au/Public/Art...e=Coastal development all at sea over climate

 
It seems all very unfair, we are down to only one member of the church of climetology. The rest must be out whale watching, or tree hugging.



?????

You are right...only one man standing, the dependable Red Rob.

Slim and Calliope you spoke too soon.

The elves have returned from helping Santa.

More youtubes, graphs, pictures of earth and other demonic arts with which to torture us.

gg
 
I wish all contributors to this thread an enjoyable Xmas day.

I guess these guys will survive GW.
 

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I am warned that a festive season (and visitors) have arrived.
I wish to add a "sanity clause" to this thread, for this day.
May you all be at peace and enjoy the company that keeps you.
Till the morrow.
 
Snake
I can see you are trying hard to keep up.
Here's a crash course on the "science":
http://www.awi.de/fileadmin/user_up...al_carbon_cycle/pk_cc_02_ghgforce_handout.pdf
Sir,

Thanks for your opinion.
I will graduate your crash course shortly. Any tax payers robbing job offers available if I successfully graduate? I can add my wikipedia knowledge to go with it so maybe there is a good posy out there for me. Hey if I get one I could use tax payers money and buy a big screen TV and say it is for work whilst pushing the global warming agenda too.

Life must be great for some. I must be dreaming. Slap. Slap.

Merry, merry Christmas!

Oh, and on the sea/land ice issue we are still waiting.
 
Slim and Calliope you spoke too soon.

The elves have returned from helping Santa.

strange that gg

Ever since you bet me that McCain would beat Obama, I've been referring to you as Santa Claus

btw, the closest thing to a bookie in this case would be the likes of the big insurance companies yes?
 
Slim and Calliope you spoke too soon.

The elves have returned from helping Santa.

More youtubes, graphs, pictures of earth and other demonic arts with which to torture us.

gg

strange that gg

Ever since you bet me that McCain would beat Obama, I've been referring to you as Santa Claus

btw, the closest thing to a bookie in this case would be the likes of the big insurance companies yes?

Welcome back from the North Pole mate.

Volunteering is good for the soul.

Where do I send the money for the carton of beer?

ps I refuse to subsidise South Australian beer.

gg
 
yes GG, we got another one, and he's a live one too. So there is am offer of a christmas truce hehe. Just like WW1. Is that how far we've come

hindsight, of course a looney labor government in victoria will pass such development laws. They want votes from people like you doesn't change the fact that the worlds richest people are buying on the water. As close as possible!

Loyds says insurance claims will double by 2030...... LOL of course they will. Primarily because the earths population will double too.

Insurance companies offering insurance for something that won't happen.... Nothing unusual there. That's good business prectice!

I'll offer anyone here insurance on their property against rising sea levels (not storm surge), just rising sea levels, at half the price of lloyds. Ill back it up with all my assets.

Has anyone actually seen the sea level rise anywhere in the world? Compare your childhood photos of walled European ports to pictures available now. (easier to compare then a sloped Aussie beach succeptible to erosion) and you will see the ocean is where it has been for 40 years.

And if you look at paintings of seawalls etc in places like Istanbul or Malta you will see that the ocean is the same as 300-400 years ago. Merry x mass
 
yeah, I love the way Queenslanders steal the headwater runoff - then refuse to even consider recycled water.

"I'm not drinking something that went through another person!!" said one old duck on TV after the Toowoomba referendum.

Meanwhile Adelaide has to drink "water" (sic) that has been through 18 people, 35 cows, two of which were dead for a week, and a few dozen dogs.

PS no probs - your humility is enough reward lol. (yeah right I hear you say).
PS here's to Xmas. and 2009.
 
Welcome back from the North Pole mate.
actually I was given 3 days purgatory for daring to suggest that Calliope didn't know how to spell Boult
mind you he doesn't have the integrity to admit it

post #504 refers (note the little "removed" sign) = "Calliope doesn't know how to spell Boult".
Meanwhile he retorts with "2020 has blown his bolt etc .." (after I'd told him how to spell it lol)- not deleted


amazing consistency with the referrees around here
 
yes GG, we got another one, and he's a live one too.
hey slim,
would you put your money on this one then (already posted but you've ignored it I notice) - buy a big hummer - confident that we ain't gonna go down the "discourage petrol guzzler" route ?
 
actually I was given 3 days purgatory for daring to suggest that Calliope didn't know how to spell Boult
mind you he doesn't have the integrity to admit it

You poor old thing. I thought you were a protected species. So I spelt a name wrong, There's no need to throw a hissy fit. I am sure there will be plenty more trivial things for you to nitpick about.

There was a positive side though. At your rate of 10 a day we were spared 30 of your long boring posts. You are making us pay for it though with overload in spades.
 
It was a beautiful day in Townsville today.

The sun rose in the East.

It was a dry day, very little cloud in the sky, though some quite high up.

Visibility was 10k at Townsville Airport and reported to be 31 degrees at 2pm, but I thought it was warmer.

It was a dry heat with little wind.

The heat out of the shade became uncomfortable at 0740.

The sun set in the West.

There are some beautiful stars in a clear night at present.

gg
 
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