bigdog
Retired many years ago
- Joined
- 19 July 2006
- Posts
- 8,200
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I assume that it’s the CY21 comments that the market got upset about; the market maybe wanted better news about domestic performance? Possibly also factoring in the dollar not being so positive for the international exports?What we should do with CGC, is see if there's anything to learn from this recent price dump.
View attachment 125077 Look good to me.
Market thought differently.
View attachment 125078
I'm not going to comment on the business fundamentals. I know @galumay may as he's posted plenty of warnings in the past about CGC.
I'm always vary of trading agricultural companies because they're at the mercy of the weather.
Avocado price has been a great money earner and looking at the price in Woolie - halvedThey actually surprised me with the turnaround they achieved, still carrying a lot of debt, but FCF was strong, my back of the envelope range of value is between $2 & $2.50.
Strong agree with your second point, they are also price takers and always lumpy returns because of both those factors plus huge swings in supply side.
Agricultural commodity businesses are just too hard for my liking, not something I want to own.
HI @galumay, I am also a learner and probably will always be even if I've been around the block for a while...Value is about 1 avo at my woolies!
Maybe its like A2M, value is a function of product! A2M milk is $2.50 for 2l at our woolies which is about what I reckon its worth too!
2 litres A2 is for $2.5? Only last week, it was $5.3 or so for 2 litres. That's really good for buyers (but how many bottles can you buy and storeValue is about 1 avo at my woolies!
Maybe its like A2M, value is a function of product! A2M milk is $2.50 for 2l at our woolies which is about what I reckon its worth too!
Totally on topic, you value investor, you!Way off topic, but if you divide a 3 litre bottle into one Litre bottles (completely full, no air gap ) and put them in the coldest part of the fridge they can last for up to 6 weeks.
Total in agreement. So I keep the one-litre bottles which unfortunately mean, paying $3.5 for a one-litre bottle first, and buy three of them, then to get 3 litres A2 bottle @$7.5 (comes out @$2.5 per litres),Way off topic, but if you divide a 3 litre bottle into one Litre bottles (completely full, no air gap ) and put them in the coldest part of the fridge they can last for up to 6 weeks.
Well aside from multiples of avocados or 2l milk bottles, it gets a little more complex!Any comments on your thinking behind the valuation, even if it's just eye-balling ball-park estimates ?
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