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I know that CBA still has a possibility to make w4 as you and Porper anticipate, and if CBA would be trading alone in the market I would probably also would think about this possibility. My  assessment of possibilities doesn't limit to one stock-I apply the same anticipated count to the entire sector, the simmilar moving stocks, and the market overall. If the majority contadicts to this possibility, I just reject it. I never trade stock and think that it will make it's own waves. I'd rather go with that count which favours majority of instruments, especialy those who are making trends. You should have already noticed that I never trade, comment or make any analysis on other stocks than bluse chips.  Because even sometimes they have nice waves, but it is hard to put money on the count when you see index or sector contradicts.