He would include petrol but initially exclude agriculture, but above all he stresses the urgency of introducing the scheme if the death of Australian icons like the Barrier Reef is to be averted.
Speaking on the release of his report in Canberra, Professor Garnaut called for a system to cap greenhouse emissions and a permit system for industry.
1. The Barrier Reef, or anything else, is only going to benefit if there is a net
global reduction in emissions.
Shutting down Australian industry and shipping ores to China etc for processing would actually make the problem worse, despite lowering Australia's apparent greenhouse gas emissions. Indeed given Australia's position as a mineral exporter, it's hard to envisage any global solution to CO2 emissions that doesn't involve a majore
increase in Australia's energy use, particularly of electricity in heavy industry, in order to reduce global shipping volumes. Bye, bye globalisation, hello local manufacturing.
Whether or not that means an increase in CO2 emissions depends on the source of that power. That said, the environmental need to cut emissions is global, the need to do it within any one country is purely political.
2. Excluding agriculture is ridiculous as is failing to address the population issue. Any discussion of climate change or sustainability in general that doesn't address those two is like discussing building materials but excluding concrete and bricks, or holding a land-based transport forum that excludes road and rail.
That there are nearly 7 billion of us ultimately
is the problem - we could all stoke up the coal fire quite happily if we still had the pre-oil population levels (globally).
If we're going to implement a techno fix to all of this then either it's one that is able to cut fossil fuel use to zero or it's doomed to fail at the hands of constant growth. The only technologies we have with that potential are the renewable energy sources, and even there PV and wind are at a disadvantage due to their limited lifespan and use of materials.
Hence my long held view that, for Australia, the long term solution involves primarily geothermal and solar thermal with pumped storage hydro to balance the system. Plus smaller amounts of natural flow hydro, wind, tidal etc in suitable locations. There might be a role for PV in the future, but it's far too expensive now. As for biomass - it's way too valuable for things other than power generation.