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Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading thread

So what now happens to cryptocurrencies already owned by Chinese citizens?

Do they have a viable option to sell that in exchange for Chinese or foreign fiat currency or some other asset or have they simply lost their money outright?
Don't know.
If they keep their wallet on a hard drive say, then they can still keep the coins I presume, but given that the CCP has made all crypto transactions illegal, I don't see how they can exchange them within Chinas jurisdiction.
The underground mining setups will struggle, as will anyone invested heavily in bitcoin within china if they cannot realise their investment.
be interesting to see what happens next.
Mick
 

Probably have to sell it on a overseas exchange, through a relative or friend. Then smuggle the currency back into china except everybody tries to smuggle currency out of china not back in.
 
Interestingly, when you plot bitcoin on a log graph, it's right on long term trend

 
According to one of the 18billion commentators on markets, Etherium is next crypto to go on a run.
FromKitco
Not sure if I would agree with the good Frank, but I am not a crypto expert.
Perhaps someone here who is closer to that Nirvana can do it for me.
Mick
 
I'm only interested in what's 10-10000 bagging.

Etherium might double or something. I use it a bit but it sucks because of gas fees. Who wants $30-$5000 transaction fees every time they transact. It's been stupid for the last couple of months even using bridging tokens.
Eth 2 is supposed to remedy it.

Better gains elsewhere but possible 2x-5x on eth if it fixes the current problems. Blockchain just sucks though from someone that uses it a lot.
 
Well my mine is now about 40% more profitable than it was ~3 weeks ago.
 
Cross-post:

You hear about all this carryon reference whether crypto is the new gold (meaning inflation hedge), so here's a graph for you:

 
Tether is looking really worrying. Looks worse than Evergrande.
Tether is grand scale scam..the more you learn the more puzzled you are at how the hell did they manage to keep that level of fraudulent activity so long and so far
 
I don't like the comparisons between Bitcoin and Gold. Both are very valuable, but I think they are too different to compare them.
 
I don't like the comparisons between Bitcoin and Gold. Both are very valuable, but I think they are too different to compare them.
The narrative is that bitcoin is the new gold (meaning inflation hedge). I just showed the US10Y correlation.

It's up to you as to whether you believe it to be the aforementioned inflation hedge, but the numbers sure show it to be.
 
The beta shares crypto ETF got off to a record start.
FromThe OZ
Obviously the punters were keen to get on board.
Most likely we will see more ETF type crypto action for those who will not/cannot by the indidual crypto currencies.
Mick
 
Tether is looking really worrying. Looks worse than Evergrande.

This story suggests there is much to be concerned about with Tether. If indeed this is the company that stands behind the other crypto coinage the Fat Lady may be warming up her vocal chords.

Hindenburg Research Announces $1,000,000 Bounty For Details On Tether’s Backing



Published on October 19, 2021

NEW YORK, NY — Hindenburg Research, a forensic financial research firm, today announces it is launching the Hindenburg Tether Bounty Program (the “Program”) – a reward of up to $1,000,000 for information leading to previously undisclosed details about cryptocurrency “stablecoin” Tether’s backing.

Tether is a key underpinning of the multi-trillion-dollar crypto market. Yet despite its repeated claims of transparency, its disclosures around its holdings have been opaque. The company claims to hold a significant portion of its reserves in commercial paper yet has disclosed virtually nothing about its counterparties.

Hindenburg has doubts about the legitimacy of Tether’s backing due to the company’s sparse disclosures.

Tether has been referred to as a “stablecoin” in the crypto space due to the company’s historical claims that it was equivalent to $1 USD and was backed 1-to-1 by “traditional currency” reserves.

Since those claims that garnered it “stablecoin” status were made years ago, Tether subsequently revealed that its coin was backed only by a small percentage of traditional currency, and that much of its backing consists of holdings in commercial paper issued by unnamed counterparties.

Despite multiple regulatory sanctions over its alleged lack of truthful disclosure about its reserves, and despite Tether now having a $70 billion market cap, Tether still refuses to provide transparency to the public on its holdings.


 
According to the WSJ via The Australian we might be about to get the real identity of the creator(s) of the Bitcoin.
Still not sure if it will really resolve anything, unless someone somewhere comes up with the private key for the orignal bitcoin mining wallet.
Mick
 
How long would you hold a live grenade after the pin has been pulled ?

I was doing some research on the question of how well backed Tether is as a Stable Coin. And in fact if matters anyway.
A long read but perhaps a consideration for ASF punters playing at the CCC (
Crypto Currency Casinos.)

Untethered

It’s time to get very worried about Tether, the “stablecoin” at the center of the crypto economy.​


Many things that are terrible for you in high doses are pretty fun in low ones. For example, I enjoy some light gambling, or used to before the responsibilities of adulthood robbed me of the luxury. Two good things about gambling: It’s social—at least if you do it in person—and you can drink alcohol while doing it. Sometimes you win, sometimes you don’t, but you get time with fellow humans, an adrenaline rush, and a story to tell later. As long as you’re doing it with money you can afford to lose and you know the risks involved, it’s usually fine.

One place where it looks increasingly not fine is the cryptocurrency industry, which Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has compared to betting in unlicensed, unregistered casinos. “We’ve got a lot of casinos here in the Wild West,” Gensler said in a chat last month with the Washington Post. “And the poker chip is these stablecoins.” In this casino, the chips themselves might be just as risky as sitting down at the blackjack table.

... The question of whether Tether is a fraud, then, matters less than the questions that animate so much crypto trading: Can I make money from it? Is the gamble worth it?

A prominent Tether critic who goes by the pseudonym Bitfinex’ed defined Tether’s profound risk by way of a vivid thought experiment. “I’m going to give you a grenade, and this grenade has a random timer,” he said. “It could be 30 seconds. It could be six months. I’m going to pull the pin. And for every 10 seconds you hold that grenade, I’m going to give you a thousand bucks in cash. How long are you going to hold the grenade for?”

 
All i can see coming from this is that Gensler will be the mechanism whereby the US Fed crushes the bitcoin industry, mainly because it cannot control it.
Best to outlaw it, but you need a scapegoat to get away with it.
Mick
 
All i can see coming from this is that Gensler will be the mechanism whereby the US Fed crushes the bitcoin industry, mainly because it cannot control it.
Best to outlaw it, but you need a scapegoat to get away with it.
Mick

Fair enough Mick. Your money. Your choice.
Perhaps you should consider pushing all the chips into the pot and betting up big before the game is stopped. You could win big.
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What struck me about the analysis was the comparison to unregulated gambling and Big Players vs Little Players. I.E Who was going to get screwed and who was going to do it. In my younger days I played poker in a couple of schools. Initially I wasn't bad, generally held my own and came out somewhat ahead.

But as time wore on the weaker players dropped out as they consistently lost and their bank balances faltered. As they left it became clear to me I was now in the bottom half of the school. So regretfully I too didn't turn up. The writing was on the wall.
 
I have certain rules about investing/trading.
There are some things I won't invest in=;tobacco companies, gambling institutions, brothels come to mind.
I also have a rule about not investing because of FOMO.
And FOMO seems to be the driving force behind cryptos.
I don't trust the CB's not to get involved in regulating Crypto, or trying to regulate it I should say.
They will outlaw them, just as China did.
Then set up their own digital currency under their own rules.
Mick
 
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