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So can you address post #108?
It would seem the strategy I've outlined, trumps your put spread methodology by far.:
Any weaknesses I am not seeing with the strategy?
btw the GOOG prices are as at Friday close [US]
lol, so when you quote 31c on $1 for a 31% return over 30 days [video 3] this is quoting a return on margin:
There is Jan GOOG fly, 2 strikes wide - 570 atm, risk $2.65, reward $17.35.
Using your methodology [video 2] the return is 17.35/2.65 = 654% over ~ 40 days.
The percent per day made is 654%/40 = 16.37% per day. Therefore ~ 6000% p.a.
Just wow!!!
Or have I got something wrong here?
I know you don't trade butterflies, but I am assuming the wealth of experience implies you know about them.
1/ But we are talking now of day trading. While I have some sympathy with some of the points above, they are negated by removing overnight risk.
2/ Once again you've shown you don't really understand "margin". Trading CFDs or any other derivative you are trading on margin, but you are not borrowing money as in a "margin loan". It is your own money you are trading with.
3/ Options contain other non-linear risks (AKA the Greeks), yes even on an intraday basis. These are not huge on the face of it, but amplified by the number of contracts you suggest, they can have an uncomfortable impact.
4/ I would argue that you don't know options "intimately" at all if you don't understand margin.
I understand how options work and I have traded them many times, but do not know them at the level some of those on this forum do. I have so many courses, books that I haven't had the time to go through that I got for free online (you can get everything for free if you look in the right places).
Looking at Bill's strategy, he buys options and later sells them when they change in price. Buying $20,000 worth of options over one stock and have it's price change by about 5c or more will have an impact on the price you paid for the options whether it goes in your favour or not. Delta is the important thing here for him. I know the rest of the Greeks but don't know if he uses any of the others when deciding on his entry and exits.
FYI I usually trade .5 delta and above. The yanks prefer to trade .8 or .9 delta which are very difficult to find in Australia unless you are trading in the last week of an option's life which is of course crazy.
Let me confirm...your taking the pi$$, right?
Why can't we get an option 30 days out with 0.8 delta?
Oh I see, yes there are (of course) options with .8, .9 and even 1:1 pricing but they don't have what I call an acceptable "crowd" in the depth. They are there and you can buy and sell them but you would be dealing with the market makers and they are not so generous (as I'm sure you all know). I like to trade where I can see other traders so I can judge the current market price without needing a quote from the MMs. Generally the best trading is (predictably) around the money.
All due respect Bill but the fact of the matter is day trading options without a market makers edge is a losing strategy, occasionally you may happen to fluke the right side a move, most of the time you may scratch the trade minus costs, occasionally you may be on the wrong side of a big move unable to get out.
Unfortunately many won’t even bat an eyelid over 5 days worth of trades, doesn’t mean much to me, my concern is a newbie may take it the wrong way.
If say for auguments sake you could see huge so called "crowd" at delta 1 would you trade there instead, (using options)
The fact is that there are HEAPS of easy to trade moves every week...if you know where to look. I also fear a new trader jumping in too early which is why my paper trading exercises (which are conducted live - not posthumously) are brutal and will prepare everyone for what to expect.
Why not post your paper trades here then? If you are correct:
1. You will silence any critics
2. You will attract new business
All i'm hearing is a lot of rhetoric and not a lot of examples. You have been given the perfect platform to prove everyone wrong
Yes. Every single time. I wish!
Why not post your paper trades here then? If you are correct:
1. You will silence any critics
2. You will attract new business
All i'm hearing is a lot of rhetoric and not a lot of examples. You have been given the perfect platform to prove everyone wrong
Why not post your paper trades here then? If you are correct:
Which leads me to my next question, delta one is equivalent to its underlying, CBA and BHP move the ASX200, why not just trade the futures ??
Paper trades on ASX options will not cut it, stops will not get executed like they do on stocks/futures.
If someone is selling a service, at least 12 months worth of proven results should be required.
I had/have big ideas about how people can reduce or eliminate the risks of option trading because it saddens me greatly when new traders throw money away for an avoidable reason such as ignorance of best practice.
Yes. Every single time. I wish!
There is no one (apart from me) teaching day trading options in Australia (probably because no one can find the usual .8+ deltas) so I had to get all my tips and suggestions from the US option day traders (there are heaps of those) and adapted them for Australia. If we could trade 1 deltas (like they do in the US) I could do it with about $5,000 (not 20k).
I wish I was trading the US day market but 1am to 6am doesn't suit me plus they have some funny laws about day trading and getting your money out of those US brokers is hell on a plate.
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