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The Speculator (David Haselhurst) has been doing a paper portfolio for over 30 years in The Bulletin magazine (mostly penny hopefuls he calls them). Monday is an internet update, and Wednesday the publication. He was covering Amadeus.
Dear James,
The current status of our hedge contracts is as follows:
Gas hedges: None in place at the moment, all gas sales are at spot prices
Oil hedges: As of 31 May 2008 the oil hedge with a $90/BO cap expired.
Between 1 June to 31 Dec 2008 we have a hedge in place at 30,000 BO/month for between $55 - $85.30
Then for the 12 months starting 1 Jan 2009 the hedge in place is 24,000 BO/month for between $55 - $84.30.
We take all sales at spot prices and these proceeds are banked, then on the 23rd of the following month, the differential between the average spot month price and the caps above on the hedged barrels will be paid to the bank.
At the time we took out these hedges, oil prices were around $60/BO and nobody knew prices would hit the record highs we are currently experiencing and unfortunately these hedges are eating into our otherwise very strong cashflows in this period of high prices.
Kind regards,
CAROLINE L. BENTLEY
Exec Director/Company Secretary
Shaw Stockbroking issued a forecast on June 5 predicting full year net profit of $17.8 mill for 07/08 (up $3.9 mill). ie earnings of 9.8c per shares.
At todays price of 55c, is on a low 5.7 times earnings!
HIGHLIGHTS
Oil and gas sales revenue up 23% on the previous quarter, to a record $US16.5 million.
Average oil price received up 20% on the previous quarter to $US108.36/BO.
Average gas price received up 27% on the previous quarter to $US11.06/MCF.
Oil production up 16% on the previous quarter to 123,164 Barrels.
Gas production up 7% on the previous quarter to 467,177 MCF.
Three exploration wells cased for production during the quarter.
Chief Operating Officer, Mr Mitchell Wells appointed on 29 April 2008.
A greatly undervalued oil stock
America’s Wells Fargo Bank must regard the Australian-listed Amadeus Energy (AMU.AX
AMADEUS ENERGY13 August,200813/08/2008 14:11 Sydney, Australia.
Price Change % Change
0.480 +0.015 +3.230%
Company overview
Real-time quote
AMU.AX , 0.480, +0.015, +3.230%) as one of its best paying customers.
From record revenues from operations spread over Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma and Louisiana, the company has been delighting Wells Fargo with hefty premiums from its price-hedged production, while, at the same time, still maintaining high returns to itself.
Yet Australian investors remain unimpressed, with Amadeus shares falling from a 12-month high of 90.5c to a recent low of 44c and this week trading at 46c. More puzzling, the company announced initial results from its latest well on Monday ”” the Wolf Cowling No 2 ”” with 237ft of gross oil and gas pay over four zones between 10,200ft and a bottom hole depth of 11,375ft.
“All four zones appear to have well developed porosity and permeability,” the company reported “with high hydrocarbon saturations, and each zone appears to have potential to support commercial production on an individual basis.”
Production testing begins next week with expectations that a multi-well productive trend could be present in which Amadeus has interests ranging from 27.75 percent to 44 percent.
Amadeus earlier announced record revenues in the June quarter of $US16.5 million (previous June quarter $US11.2m) from an average realised oil price of $US108.36 a barrel (previously $US59.24) and an average gas price of $US11.06/1000 cub ft ($US7.77).
Amadeus has a cap and collar hedging arrangement with its banker. For the six months to December, 2008, 180,000 barrels of production are guaranteed a minimum of $US55/barrel and a cap price of $85.30/barrel. So Wells Fargo (which advanced Amadeus a $US40 million draw-down facility for development two years ago) trousers the windfall premium above that.
The good news is that although the hedge covers about 73 percent of oil production through to December, in the 2009 calendar year it will reduce to about 60 percent of rising production with the balance of high oil price premiums accruing to Amadeus.
We added Amadeus Energy to the “Magazine Only” portfolio in July at 59c. On June 30, the company placed 27 million shares to Perth’s Wyllie Group Pty Ltd and associates at 55c taking issued capital 208.42 million shares. The canny management of that group doesn’t throw money away on reckless investments ”” and their new shares cannot be traded for they are escrowed until mid-2009.
Amadeus’s newest executive can see the share price is grossly undervalued. On August 8 the company awarded one million options exercisable at 90c by August, 2012, as part of a remuneration package for Ms Betty Dieter, newly-appointed president of the US subsidiary, Amadeus Petroleum Inc. Ms Dieter was formerly director of acquisitions for Fidelity Exploration and Production Co., a subsidiary of the New York-listed MDU Resources Group Inc (NYSE: MDU). In the past 8 years she has overseen $US1 billion in acquisitions.
Another HOT thread. Yesterday AMU released the results of corporate navel gazing, feels it is significantly undervalued in comparison to its reserve position. Its quite reasonable assumption in regards to its SP/reserves position is that at current prices it is better off buying back its shares and reducing debt than exploring for hydrocarbons. A guaranteed way of increasing reserves per share and value perhaps. I'm wondering how many other Energy companies of all sizes are doing similar, reducing exploration and development expenditure in light of the current prices being paid for product. If enough of them are doing this it should ensure eventually a supply driven price rise that will last much longer than the last market driven rise.
What is the market still waiting for?
This stock has recovered quickly to the lower prices that it was trading for during the capital raising. They have a bit part of their operation in the USA and may be benefiting a lot from the higher oil price in US dollar terms. I wish I had bought more of them about a week ago when shares were at 24cents. I wonder how high they will go. There are a lot more buyers than sellers.
I didn't take up the SPP but bought more shares at 25c, when it dipped. Still not at break even unfortunately. Wish I had bought more
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