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- 30 June 2008
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I am not connected to Rate setter in anyway except for being a lender on their platform.
Everything I know about Rate Setter is either explained on their website, or was explained to me on investor webinars or the Investor Drinks nights last Xmas.
But I have over $600k invested on Rate Setter, so it’s been in my interest to sus it out.
I have some money to invest. Are you happy with Rate Setter? Is it possible to lose your money?
-Frank
1. As will most investments, it is technically possible to lose money, however it is very unlikely.
2. They have a provision fund the borrowers pay into as part of the repayments, that is designed to cover a longterm default rate of 3% and a short term spike of 6%, the currently actual default rate is 1.4%, and provision fund Contributions can be adjusted higher if needed.
3. On top of that, you have he higher return that protects you from capital loss.
4. This is the way I think through risk, Compare it to a Term Deposit that earns 2%.
If you are earning 8% in Rate Setter Loans, you would have to lose about 6% of your capital before you began to underperform the 2% Term deposit, because even if 6% of your loans default and you lost them completely, the remaining loans would continue to earn a high rate and would make up the shortfall.
1. Credit loss must be one of the leading losses of capital in the history of man.
2. The provision fund, is a fund contributed into by the debtors via their repayments.
View attachment 96042
If defaults rise due to an economic downturn, what is the correlation of the loans. You have no idea. Therefore, those contributions may keep capital losses low, or they may not.
Incidentally, that was the exact same reasoning with MBS in the recent past. The quality of the loans are the end-all and be-all of this type of investment.
3. Surely you jest. Fixed income investing is a negative art. You turn down 90% of the opportunities to accept only the highest quality credits. Lien is no protection. Contractual guarantees are no protection. The only protection worth a damn, is the ability to pay. Hence the total emphasis on the strength of the debtor. Ideally, you lend only to those who do not need to borrow.
So here are your coverage ratios:
View attachment 96044
That is LOW.
They also disclose who/what constitutes their underwriting team. That is a major risk.
4. So essentially you are saying this is a good investment because: you would have to lose 6% of your capital before underperforming the 2% bank return.
Losing 6% of your capital could occur in a heartbeat in poor conditions. That is a sliver of capital. Therefore, the risk of underperformance is actually very high. This simply underlines the fact that fixed income investing is a far trickier proposition than shares.
jog on
duc
Of course loans rely on a person’s ability to pay, hence my whole paragraph on the solar panel loans, where I discussed solar panels being safer because they increase people’s disposable income by eliminating or reducing a significant bill
It depends how they are assessed. We took out a Solar Panel loan from the government, through the Vic Govn't loan scheme. They don't do a credit check or look at your financials. They just assess whether power bill savings will cover loan payments. This is a pretty crude measure, as you will end up with some borrowers who were already financially stressed before they took on the loan. Saving $500 a year on your power bill won't have much impact for a family who is already underwater.
You can get a bonus $75 at the moment if you join Rate Setter using this link and invest $2000 in the 3 year or 5 year market.
https://mbsy.co/ratesetter/49795346
( I just got this in the email this morning, so thought I would share it)
I will also get a bonus $75 of some one uses this link, but I can assure you this is not the reason for my positive comments, I didn’t get this email until about 15 mins ago.
But yeah about once a year they do this referral promotion.
Agree with gg. Really enjoy and appreciate the research you have done here. However, I feel that cash and term deposits are the only truly defensive investments, due to the Government Guarantee.
With RateSetter, I can feel that in a GFC-like environment or some kind of serious credit crunch, you could see the Provision Fund evaporate very quickly.
I very much enjoy and value reading your posts on ASF @Value Collector.
However in relation to Ratesetter I feel a little bit uneasy.
If something sounds too good to be true, should not one be wary.
And this has nothing to do with you gaining $75 for referrals, it is very common practice.
Just saying.
gg
I very much enjoy and value reading your posts on ASF @Value Collector.
However in relation to Ratesetter I feel a little bit uneasy.
If something sounds too good to be true, should not one be wary.
And this has nothing to do with you gaining $75 for referrals, it is very common practice.
Just saying.
gg
Agree with gg. Really enjoy and appreciate the research you have done here. However, I feel that cash and term deposits are the only truly defensive investments, due to the Government Guarantee.
With RateSetter, I can feel that in a GFC-like environment or some kind of serious credit crunch, you could see the Provision Fund evaporate very quickly.
" btw When NAB goes bust NABHA are ahead of all others in the wind-up queue."I believe there was a rumour they were to be redeemed for $100.
I bought them at $83-84.
btw When NAB goes bust NABHA are ahead of all others in the wind-up queue.
gg
As I said, the provision fund would have to be wiped out, and you would then have to sustain further losses of over 6% of you capital in the first year just to equal a Term Deposit.
I have been loaning money through rate setter for 2 years now, so I am way ahead of where I would be with a Term desposit.
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If you want absolute security, and don’t mind getting 0% real return, then use term deposits,
But if don’t mind taking a slightly higher risk, but in return greatly increase your return, then there are options out there which include rate setter.
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as investors taking on risks to earn a return is what we do.
Don’t be gun shy just because it’s a new type of concept.
After the Great Franking credit debate you think something like this will get any legs here
Jesus spare me
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