- Joined
- 2 July 2008
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- 6
Can we trust the opinion polls?
Well, tomorrow's polling day, make or break. That bet's too rich for my blood TS, but if you're right I'll gladly contribute to a whip round to shout you a bottle of Moet.OK OK ... time to put up or shut up ... Liberals by 4 seats for me. NO HUNG PARLIAMENT. Bottle of Vintage Moet is the bet. Any takers?..
: Who gets your vote?
Coalition
53%
Labor
29%
Greens
15%
Other
3%
Total votes: 11121.Poll closes in 2 days.
This is a poll in the SMH today. The SMH is backing a Labor victory. I think all it indicates is that more conservatives read on-line newspapers than socialists. It's a similar thing for ASF posters.
Yes, I have noticed online polls seem to strongly favor the coalition which has been in conflict with other polls. We will find out tomorrow which ones were the most accurate.
And I did enjoy the "Yes Minister" clip - I think it says it all...
What do they have to do with the Greens? As far as i can tell they are independent
What backroom deal have they made with Gillard so that she gets the green preferences?.
OK OK OK OK ... time to put up or shut up ........ Liberals by 4 seats for me. NO HUNG PARLIAMENT.
I suspect the deal between Labor and the Greens is to legislate a tax on carbon during the next term but such that the tax would not actually commence till after the start of the following term.
That would satisfy Bob Brown's demand for a carbon tax this term in that it would be legislated by the next election (expected 2013).
Something a lot better than the last three years - of course IMO...His vision for the future of Australia is.................
Something a lot better than the last three years - of course IMO...
The specifics will follow - just would be a relief to have the country run by people with some experience in government.
First, it did successfully get us through the global financial crisis; the nation is not suffering from the crippling economic malaise – the loss of confidence and jobs – still found in the United States and throughout Europe. It is true, some of the economic stimulus was wasted or went astray – but it has to be understood and judged as an emergency measure enacted and managed in haste. That does not excuse it, but it goes a long way to explain it.
Second, Labor does have a plan – properly costed – to reduce national debt and get the federal budget back in surplus; its economic policy settings seem about right.
Third, it has promised to build the national broadband network and increase taxpayer value in the crucial areas of education and health, by forcing the states to perform and be accountable.
Fourth, it has performed well, if not better, in important though less than contentious areas such as defence, national security and foreign policy.
And last – what is the alternative? For all his obvious leadership qualities, Tony Abbott has not yet articulated a cohesive and positive plan for the nation. He has been correct as Opposition Leader to highlight waste in some of the government's stimulus spending. He is also justified in asking whether federal and state Labor governments can deliver on big spending promises such as the Epping-to-Parramatta rail link. He has run a good campaign – one that, if the polls are correct, will bring him very close to a historic victory. He has shown a steadiness during the campaign that has not been obvious during his political career. Until the last few weeks, he was worryingly inconsistent in many policy areas. He needs to show the Australian people that in government he would not revert to policy flip-flops as the political wind changed. If he wins, then we wish him all the best. But it really isn't yet his turn.
...Still after tomorrow our opinions count for nothing what will count is the democratic right to cast a vote and how lucky we are to be able to carry out this simple act?
Still after tomorrow our opinions count for nothing what will count is the democratic right to cast a vote and how lucky we are to be able to carry out this simple act?
I suspect the legislation of a carbon tax/ETS during the next term of government with the tax to take effect the following term.What backroom deal have they made with Gillard so that she gets the green preferences?.
Well, we tried Mr Rudd and he turned out to be an arrogant, egotistical control freak, viz the opinion polls, and his assassination.Thank god I don't have to vote in this election... Is politics really that devoid of talent that there's no one better to run for PM???? No vision, no foreign policy experience... Next to these muppets, Rudd is in a different league
Good reminder, IFocus. So easy to be critical of all that we take so much for granted.till after tomorrow our opinions count for nothing what will count is the democratic right to cast a vote and how lucky we are to be able to carry out this simple act?
The contest is actually between Shorten and Abbott.
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